You know what this post needs? Yakety-Sax.
- Let’s talk Dallas. We wrote them off. You did, too. Don’t lie. Liars go to hell, Billy. We all wrote them off and chanted “Thank You, Cuban!” along with the Nets twelve fans (and we are still right to have done so), and figured they would embarrass themselves on the way to either a first round playoff exit or missing the dance entirely. Well, the first round exit still seems likely, but embarrassing themselves doesn’t. Kidd is playing the best ball he has in years, Howard is back to full force, Dirk is so damn consistent we should all be taken to court for the crime of not appreciating it, Terry is their sixth freaking man, and they have depth all over the place. When this team is playing well, and if you watch them right now, they’re playing really well, they’re still a loaded team with a ton of playoff experience.
- Let me take you back to last year. The Mavs were facing the Hornets on the last day of the season. If they won, they avoided the terrifying fate of the Lakers and instead got a Hornets team that busted them in the face and wiped them from the face of the Earth like a plague. I was begging the Mavs to lose that game last year, to take the Lakers. The matchups are so much better for Dallas against LA.
- Okay, you think I’m nuts. I get that. And hey, looking at the regular season results, that’s certainly true. But then, if we go by that logic, the Bobcats would wipe the Lakers out in the first round, the Thunder would push San Antonio to seven games, and other nonsensical comparisons. I don’t think the Mavs would beat the Lakers, let’s be clear on that. No one’s beating the Lakers. Not happening. But if you look at the matchups..
- Let’s do 1-3 and 4-5. Jason Kidd, Antoine Wright, Jose Juan Barrea (Jub-Jub!), Jason Terry, and Josh Howard versus Derek Fisher, Kobe Bryant, Jordan Farmar, Sasha Vujacic, Lamar Odom, Trevor Ariza, and if you’re feeling frisky, Luke Walton even though he’s been guarding a lot of fours lately. Now, take Kobe out of that equation. We know Kobe is a force of nature all his own. And he’ll be the reason the Lakers win, this series and all series. But Jason Kidd, Barrea, and Terry versus Fisher, Farmar, and Vujacic? Josh Howard versus Lamar Odom? Throw in the fact that at least the Mavs have Antoine Wright who is tall enough to physically match up with Kobe, and that pulls them within range.
- Next you’ve got Dirk Nowitzki, Brandon Bass, and Erick Dampier versus Pau Gasol, Andrew Bynum, and DJ MBenga. To give the automatic win to Gasol over Nowitzki and Bynum over Dampier is to ignore Nowitzki’s brilliance and Dampier’s play as of late. Bynum has struggled this season, even when he was healthy, against players who were big enough not to be bullied by him. Dampier for all the flack he takes is bullied by no one outside of the MDE. He’s got the frame to stand up to Bynum for spots. Bynum will have a few solid games, but it won’t be outright destruction. Now, Gasol’s been the most important player for the Lakers this season (there’s a point where you just take Kobe for granted, because he’s just that good. He’s like factoring in space and time). And he’s owned Nowitzki this year. But in a playoff series, do you really want to bet on the half-beard versus Dirk?
- All of this is to say that the Lakers will still easily win a series with the Mavs. But if you’re looking for the easiest road to the Finals? To allow time for rest while the West beats the crap out of itself? That road goes through Utah and their inability to play on the road. Not through Dallas and a team with another important factor. They have nothing left to lose.
- So Griffin’s going pro. Surprise surprise. Now the fun part begins. There’s a widespread assumption that he’ll go #1. I’m not so sure. Look at the teams at the top of the lottery. The Kings have Shock and Hawes and need something to undo the horror that is Udrih’s contract. Plus if they don’t take Rubio, Tom Ziller will hold shiva. Now, Tom told me that when you’re a team that wins 17 games, you take the BPA approach. But you have pieces to build around there. I’m not certain if Griffin is the direction they want to head. The Clippers? Good God. Who can the Clippers take? The Clippers should lose their pick out of concern for the well being of the rookies. They could take anyone and it would be understandable and yet sad for whoever gets put there. They have Z-Bo, Camby, and Kamby. Is adding a frontcourt player the way they want go? We all know Memphis will never have the luck to get the top pick. Your argument is invalid.
- Which brings us to Washington. We’re going to pretend for the purposes of this exercise that we’re getting Gilbert and Haywood (and Jamison and Butler and Epic Vale and everyone else) back at full strength next season. If they get the top pick… CATSANDDOGSLIVINGTOGETHERMASSHYSTERIA. What, do you bring Blake Griffin off the bench? The top pick with explosive talent, the big investment, you groom him as a longterm replacement to Antawn Jamison? Do you shift Butler to the 2 guard, move Jamison to the three (ewwww) and start Griffin? Do you trade Jamison? I mean, it seems like it could be a gluttony of brilliance or an absolute disaster. So basically, a very Wizards scenario.
- What ever happened to Linas Kleiza? Where did that go? He’s got a 12 point variance in his last three games. High is 27, low is 0 this season. It’s like he vanished, while doing almost nothing different.
- The Paroxi-House is a house that supports the Hornets. Paroxi-wife loves Paul’s baby eyes. I think David West, even though he’s kind of brusque (or a jackass, you might say), is an assassin that’s fun to watch, and the alley oop is sacred behavior here. But man, this team just doesn’t have it. Largely I think the “it” factor is irrelevant, not because it doesn’t exist, but because it can appear and disappear completely randomly at any point. If you don’t believe me, remember the Timberwolves have winning streaks this year. But this team seems incapable of hitting that geat they were at last year. And though the statistical evidence is heavy to disprove me (but maybe not all of it), I have this blind faith feeling it’s got to do with losing Pargo. The Hornets seem to have been immasculated a bit over the course of a year. I have hope that Chandler will get healthy and all of a sudden this team will look like a bunch of guys in C.O.B.R.A. again, but right now, they’re one of the easiest draws in the West.
- Portland, on the other hand, looks like a team you don’t want to mess with. KD’s right, they can’t play defense worth a lick. But if they get hot, they can hurt you in so many ways. And there’s zero quit in them. They’re not seasoned enough to have lost the drive that comes with playing a giant number of games. Then there’s the fact that they have a legitimate rivalry with three teams in the playoffs (Utah, Denver, LA). Portland’s at the glass ceiling, and if they can get some balls to bounce their way, they could bust through.
- The Memphis Grizzlies keep inventing new ways of losing. Last night it was Conley losing a pass for no apparent reason. Tonight it was OJ Mayo shooting a three without setting for no apparent reason. That would be a good name for the team. The Memphis For No Apparent Reason. I want to be excited about how well Gasol has developed, about OJ finding his shot, about Rudy’s pulse, and the fact that Conley’s no longer an abomination. But Jesus, guys. Put the damn game away.
- Rajon Rondo has a ridiculous amount of versatility at this point. While we were watching KG snarl, Allen knock down J’s and Pierce be the Truth, Rondo added the stop-go-stop-go-and under, the drive and kick, the faintest hint of a pull-up, and a screwball pass to his repertoire to go along with the floater. Watching him go against Parker is going to be one of the best and most underrated battles of the next five years.
- Man, the Spurs are screwed.


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It’s not just about giving Pau the automatic edge over Dirk. It’s the fact that there not enough personnel to check Pau AND Bynum AND Lamar. Pau can hurt the Mavs more than Dirk can hurt the Lakers. Dirk may get his, but Pau’s will hurt time and again, plus Pau’s (and LO and Bynum’s) inside damage is multiplied by Kobe. Dirk has to share the perimeter with his teammates. 200 HP in a Ford is NOT the same as 200 HP in a BMW. Even if it’s a Mustang.
Oh yeah, and if Hollins is in the game. Not only will he get abused by Pau, but Kobe’s ire and focus will be just a tad raised. JR Smith can attest to that.
Griffin is too good to go anything other than 1. Especially in a draft where the difference in talent between him and the number 2 prospect is so large. Remember, not everyone thinks Rubio will be coming to the NBA this year. The Wizards, Kings, or whoever gets the number one pick will draft Griffin and figure everything else out afterwards. The Spurs had Robinson and still got Duncan (who is a center no matter what anyone says). And oh by the way the Bucks had TJ Ford so they passed up Chris Paul. Think they’d like to have that one back?
Matt, you’re a little off on a couple of your Lakers-Mavs matchups, namely with regards to Odom and Mbenga. You’ve got to remember what the Laker frontcourt rotation looked like when Bynum was playing, and realize it’s entirely just three players: Bynum, Gasol and Odom. Mbenga isn’t gonna get off the bench unless there’s foul trouble or if games are blowouts, so you can take him out of the equation. As for Odom, he won’t be guarding Josh Howard at all, he’ll be guarding Dirk, and Odom has been one of the few guys to do a decent job of checking Dirk in the last couple years (unfortunately for Dallas, Pau Gasol is one of the other guys who’s also been adept at defending Nowitzki). Basically think about it like this: Nowitzki’s gonna have either Odom or Gasol guarding him at all times. Not a pretty thought if you’re Dallas.
Meanwhile Trevor Ariza will be guarding Josh Howard, in what may be the real key to the series for Dallas. Howard needs to play like its 2006 or else LA is gonna walk all over the Mavs, and Ariza’s not gonna make it easy for him. As for Kidd, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Kobe guarding him for a lot of the series (or possibly Ariza on Kidd and Kobe on Howard), and you’ll probably see Fisher on Barrea or Terry.
I think Dallas has really stepped up of late, but I do think that LA is a particularly bad matchup for them, mainly because of Odom & Gasol. With Bynum in there to stay with Dampier and LA able to cover Dirk for every second he’s on the floor with a player who gives him a lot of trouble, that’s going to be really tough for Dallas to overcome. LA having good defenders in Kobe and Ariza to matchup with Kidd and Howard also isn’t good for the Mavs. Dallas is a decent team, but I’ll be surprised if they win a game against the Lakers.
[...] Moore is reconsidering the Mavs, and his thoughts are worth a [...]
and the biggest underlying reason JKidd is pushing it this year ISSSSSSS………..its contract year ! he has been proving to all the naisayers, hes NOT too old and done, plus he wants another multi year contract from the Mavs or someone above the mid level exception ! he has already said he wants to retire a maverick, where he started his NBA career, and he dont wanta be a single year renta player. and i believe all this other stuff like going to cleveland or LA is just his hype to pressure MCuban’s EYES WIDE OPEN ! BUT, he is still playing good enough, to have other hopefuls, waiting for him to break away and run out of Dallas, too. the fact still remains, HE is OLDER, so how much time does he really have left ? nobody really knows, but if i was MCuban, i would give him a 3-4 year deal, at say $10 mil a year, with a team exception if he doesnt perform like he has this year, or gets hurt, he can have the option to go to the coaching staff at a cut salary and still retire a MAV.
I liked Pargo but I really don’t think his abscence hurt the Hornets too much. Maybe on the defensive end a bit (the bench could atleast defend last year, this year they haven’t done much of anything), but overall.. nah. It seems like an easy answer but really I think it just comes down to injuries. Some teams have the depth to deal with injuries (Houston, for instance), some teams don’t. The Hornets are in that latter group. Last year the Hornets had very few health issues, this year its been a constant issue. When Peja’s out… the offense suffers, when Tyson’s out.. the defense suffers. When they are both out, ugh. Take Posey out and the bench gets even thinner.
Plus you’ve got David West and Chris Paul both playing 40-45 minutes a night and they are both banged up as well… D West has been playing on one leg.