With the draft a week away, I’ve decided to put together a list of the top 50 prospects and their corresponding offensive Four Factors numbers. For good explanations of what those are, go to http://www.basketball-reference.com/about/factors.html (I chose to use true shot percentage instead of effective field goal percentage). I’ve also included the players’ ranks in each category. The lowest rank is 42 because I decided to leave out the eight international players.
In the next week, I plan on determining which players are the best fit for each team based on these numbers and the team Four Factors. All of the information will be on Basketball-Statistics.com.
To see the numbers, go to:
http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=rYWvxyu-k0VHkqpR1m7Oc4g
I used Chad Ford’s Top 100 list to come up with the names. College players’ numbers were obtained from http://www.kenpom.com. I calculated the Euro numbers using the data available at http://www.keyhoops.com.
To see my draft player projections using the Box Score Prediction System, go to http://basketball-statistics.com/2009draftplayerprojections.html.
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On the player projections, are those projected stats for the player’s rookie year?
I see some big numbers there, basically every guy would be a legit rotation player in the NBA right off the bat, even some of these borderline prospects and some of these stats at 19/20 years old would be historically good for a rookie (like LeBron/MJ/Magic territory).
Kevin,
Those are projected career averages. Sorry if that’s not more clear.
Ah, alright. Thanks!