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Amateur Hour

Because only one national champion fits the description: the 2003 Syracuse Orange featuring Carmelo Anthony, Hakim Warrick and a bunch of non-pros. Beyond that, every single national champion from the past 40 years had at least three players who went on to be a first-round pick, second-round pick or an NBA player in general.

So what does this mean?

Well, for starters it means that — surprise, surprise — I was right again, just like always. But what it also means is that a college coach who looks at his roster and doesn’t see at least three NBA-caliber prospects has virtually no chance of winning a national championship. Sure, you can still be good, maybe win your league and even go to a Final Four if everything breaks perfectly. But history suggests you’re not going to win it all without three NBA-caliber prospects, and this is why coaches spend basically every day of the contact periods on the road killing themselves securing commitments from elite-level prospects.

via Here’s proof that it takes pros to win it all – CBSSports.com.

An interesting column that verifies my belief that NBA talent is the most important thing in college basketball, except it doesn’t.

Let me explain.

In 2007, a friend and I were locked in mortal verbal kombat over the coming NCAA championship game. My belief was that Calipari’s Memphis Tigers featured the most NBA talent, and therefore, would crush Bill Self’s homely little roster of kU “good ol’ fashioned college players.” My friend believed that in college, heart, “fundamentals,” and classic college strategy would win the day.

One Mario Chalmers three pointer later (and the last one you could count on him to hit), and kU walks off with another championship.

So what does the excellent Parrish column tell us? That you need some talent, honed into classic college shape by good coaching. That the rest of the talent on your team won’t be good enough to sustain NBA-type play. Carmelo is of course the outlier, which is fitting because he’s the best college prospect to come out over the last bajillion years besides Wade, and Wade played for Marquette, for God’s sake. Travis Diener has a job playing ball right now specifically because Dwyane Wade played at Marquette.

How is this relevant? John Wall and Kentucky have the most NBA talent and are honestly, the most talented team in the country. But Wall still depends on players making NBA shots like baseline 12 foot jumpers. Which they can’t. Because they’re college players. And so likely Sherron Collins will lift the trophy once more before being drafted late in the first round and fading into nothingness. NBA talent matters the most in college basketball, it’s just not all that matters.

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what about UCONN's 98-99 Championship team. did they really have 3 pros? Clearly Rip is one, voshkul is 2. who was #3??? did el-amin have a cup of coffee in the league?

Also, I'm not real keen on tallying the number of draft picks as if having both Carmelo Anthony and Hakim Warrick on a team is as simple as 1+1=2. Anthony was so clearly the best player in that Final Four (which included 5 of the 6 best players in the NCAA that year) that I can only compare his obvious dominance on that level (as an eyewitness) to Tisdale, Manning, and Iverson.

I'm still skeptical that Collins will get to the NBA any way other than the Will Bynum route. On the other hand, I believe that Sasha Kaun is one of the 20 or 30 best defensive centers in the world and, were he not Russian, would be playing for, not just employed by, an NBA team today.

Well, Kansas had, on that team, Aldrich (2010 lotto pick), Brandon Rush, Chalmers, Darrell Arthur, Darnell Jackson, and Sherron Collins. That's six guys who have or will play at least a few games in the NBA. Memphis had Rose, CDR, Dorsey, Anderson and Dozier, the last two of which have never played an NBA game and may never do so, though they were drafted in the second round. Dorsey's played 3. Granted, Rose and CDR may be better than any player on that Kansas team. But Kansas had more NBA players. What I would say is that the team with the most NBA talent doesn't always win, but when they don't, it's because they lack NBA big men. As Memphis did (Dorsey doesn't quite count), as Afflalo-Farmar UCLA did (Ryan Hollins doesn't quite count either), as Foye-Lowry Villanova did, as St. Joe's did. Nelson and West could be a starting backcourt for Don Nelson, but they lacked an NBA big man. So my rule is the team with the most NBA talent and at least one half-decent NBA big man (by which I mean, a player who scouts think is half-decent at the time - obviously guys like Chris Wilcox, Sean May, and Darrell Arthur never quite panned out). Syracuse being the great outlier.