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On Steve Nash And Assumptions

Photo via Rain City Girl on Flickr

Assumptions are a funny thing. They invade the mind, spawn and manifest themselves in ways that affect our thought process in manners beyond our scope of comprehension. Our day to day existence is very much impacted whether we know it or not. A bad experience as a child can alter the way we perceive things later in life. A faulty product leaves us believing the worst about the company as a whole. Assumptions aren’t always a bad thing they simply alter our acuity, often shifting perception, with the variable being the size of the scale.

Perhaps one of the most widespread assumptions as they pertain to professional sports – and one that has traditionally proven to be accurate – is that advancement in age results in a drop-off in production. Sooner or later, every athlete in every sport hits that wall. Shots don’t fall like they used to, the familiar spring in the legs is evanescent and the bumps linger longer than they used to. We simply assume that once our stars start creeping closer to 40 that it’s all over, whether or not they age gracefully or leave us cringing, they start fading to black.

What happens when they don’t get that memo? The Celtics Big 3 continue to produce at a high level despite being on the down slope of their playing days and have been lauded for it – rightfully so. Kobe Bryant and Dirk Nowitzki remain among the NBA’s most revered players even being past their expected primes (though Dirk at 32 is still technically there). How is it then, with this crop of aging superstars still very much dominating the league’s spotlight that Steve Nash – in the midst of arguably his best season ever from a statistical standpoint – has managed to fade from the discussion of best active point guards?

With all due respect to Derrick Rose, Chris Paul, Rajon Rondo, Deron Williams, Russell Westbrook, et al, Nash’s production at the ripe age of 37 makes him the most impressive floor general still lacing them up. Playing for a Suns team that is a shell of the thrilling Phoenix teams of a few years ago, the modern day Godfather of the pick and roll is “quietly” putting together a line of 16 points and 11 assists while shooting nearly 51% from the floor and 38% beyond the arc. His per-36 numbers are right up there with his best seasons during his prime and his assist numbers have never been better. The sage veteran ranks in the top ten among all point guards in scoring, assists, field-goal percentage, three-point field goal percentage and free throw percentage and yet isn’t good enough to make the All-Star team.

Some may call it the passing of the torch to a new generation of point guards, I call is subconscious ageism. Our image of Nash’s greatness is so convoluted with what we perceive him to be rather than what he is, that in the midst of another brilliant season in the expected twilight of his career, he is lost in a sea of youthful exuberance and explosiveness at the point guard position. We’re blinded by our own assumptions of one of the game’s great playmakers.

What we’re seeing has never been done before and like so many new and unfamiliar entities that we encounter, we misjudge what is in front of us. In this “Golden Age of the Point Guard” we’re blessed to witness explosive, young players equally as capable of dolling out 15 assists as they are of completing jaw dropping forays to the rim. Nash’s beautiful gift of playing angles and seeing passing lanes that no one else does is overshadowed by individuals who simply obliterate the geometry of the game. But above all else, Nash simply isn’t falling in line with our preconceived notions of an aging point guard.

It’s acceptable for Ray Allen to remain a marquee individual because we all know the jumper is the last thing to go. Kobe is one of the fiercest competitors of his or any generation, so he can will himself to the basket until he is 50 for all we care. But for Nash, playing a position that requires speed, athleticism and the latest trend a 36-inch vertical, he manages to stay elite in a world that assumes otherwise.

The greatest hope for every fan is that their favorite stars can play forever, but the mortality of their greatness is constantly present in our understanding of them. We watch because we know what is, won’t always be. Yet somehow, Nash has managed to outlive our predestined conceptualization of his career, but rather than pay witness to this remarkable aberration, the public’s state of mind forges on to the latest and greatest.

Maybe it’s time to take a step back.

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Very happy to see people talk about Nash getting snubbed, because it really was egregious.

I don't really think the issue is with assumption though so much as it is a combination of 1)Nash being a guy who doesn't fit the typical superstar mold (Nash when times are good, people look at the Suns to apportion credit, and Nash always stands out, but there's always some reluctance there.), and 2) The weak Suns season making it so that Nash was less on people's minds.

Generally, I think what the really big snubs in sports have in common, is that people aren't actually working with a proper shortlist of candidates, and I think you saw it with Love. Love didn't simply get a wild card spot over Nash, if you look at any of the articles before his selection, Nash wasn't even among the 4-6 candidates mentioned most of the time.

This despite the fact that Love's "historic" numbers aren't even more impressive than Nash's (Nash always had the superior APER), Nash's "unsuccessful" team was *way* more successful than Love's, and on the +/- side of things Nash remains utterly elite, and Love remains completely unproven.

There is simply no way that one can reasonable say that Nash didn't have a good case over Love, and that he didn't belonged in the debate - and yet he wasn't. There's no rationalizing this, it's just a flaw in the way people think, due partly due to laziness and partly due to the way a lot of people, deep down, still don't grasp the level of impact Nash has had the past 7 years.

I love that other people are noticing this trend. Nash's game is almost as misunderstood as it is admired. Despite monumental changes to Suns roster over the years (read: Joe Johnson to Atlanta; Bell/Diaw to Charlotte; J-Rich to Orlando; Amaré to NY), Steve continues to drop numbers that compare to his "prime". His effect on the game is just not as exaggerated with Grant Hill finishing a layup as it was with Amaré dropping the hammer on some unsuspecting defender (sorry Anthony Tolliver).

I agree, if the Suns are in last year's playoff position, Nash makes the All-Star team with this year's numbers.

Really well-written piece but I'm with Craig on this one - I don't think age has a lot to do with fan/media perception here, rather the Suns have burned through the last of their relevance. They've gone through their playoff runs, have frittered away players and personnel and have finally gotten to the point where they're just not very good or very exciting as a team. Nash is still putting up the numbers but the basketball world has moved on.

Maybe, but I think if the Suns were in playoff position that Nash would have been an All-Star. The problem is that teams with hugely winning records like the Celtics are overrepresented and every year someone like Nash is left off. Westbrook is on a better team this year and that's why he's there as much as his age. When Nash was good on relevant teams, he was still getting all-star votes and relatively old.

wait..Dirk is in his prime at 32, Kobe is past his at 31....I have to digest that one.

steve nash is great..too bad he has vince" let me settle for a contested jumper" carter on his team

You're absolutely right about Nash's incredible longevity and what it says about how to survive in this league at such a speed dependent position (very good training, off-season sports regimen, Vitamin Water), but I think he lost out on the All-Star Game on the merits, less a function of his decline as the rising wave of talented young point guards around him and the fact that Paul was voted in as a starter and most of the clutter after that (in terms of All-Star reserves) was for forwards, of which there is an absolute logjam. He's not just up against the point guards for this position, he's up against Kevin Love's historic numbers, LaMarcus Aldridge dragging around the corpse of the old guard Blazers all by himself, etc. This isn't to say Nash doesn't deserve it and indeed, he almost made it. But pound for pound it isn't at all clear to me that he simply didn't deserve to be the next guy out. A bigger problem for your "age as discrimination" theory is Tim Duncan.