Valanciunas might have the most upside of any draft pick in this year’s class. Who doesn’t need a scoring machine who can rebound, run and defend? He’s also a high-motor player.
Put it this way: If he was coming out of college after a year at UNC, he’d have gone No. 1 overall.
I was conflicted when I read that David Thorpe piece. On the one hand, I’m pumped to see Jonas Valanciunas here in Toronto. I’ve jumped off my couch a few times watching live streams, seeing him finish alley-oops and get weakside blocks. Right now, he’s a solid help defender and rebounder with a nice shooting touch. I’m a fan of his game and a huge fan of the energy he brings, so much so that I’ve felt a bit Lithuanian during this tournament. If a basketball mind like Thorpe’s thinks he can develop into a number one option who can draw double teams, I should be dancing. But, um, the most upside? No. 1 overall? Whoa.
“I don’t think I’m ready for the NBA yet,” [Valanciunas] said. “I still have one more year here and I’m going to do a lot of physical work, getting my body stronger. Then we’ll see.”
I just watched Lithuania and Serbia play a EuroBasket consolation game. In the game, particularly In the first half, Kosta Koufos pushed Valanciunas around like the skinny 19-year-old he is. This should be a reminder that, even if we rightfully get excited seeing him hold his own against Spain’s ridiculous frontcourt, he’s a work in progress. Yes, he dominated Serbia like he did the entire U-19 tournament, but in Zach Harper’s words, the Serbs “didn’t defend anybody at the basket and he could just stand there and catch it.â€
We knew going into the draft that Valanciunas needed to get much stronger and improve his post game. He’s had an impressive summer, but these things are still true. I believe he’ll develop into a more-than-solid starting center and, seeing Thorpe’s comments above and here, I’m inclined to believe he has All-Star potential. I’d be shocked if he won Rookie of the Year in 2012-2013, though — it’ll take a year or two to adjust to playing in the paint for 82 games at the highest level. Patience and hope, Raptors fans. Extra emphasis on “patience.”

[...] ESPN Insider article that I read a few weeks back stated that “[Jonas] Valaciunas might have the most upside of any draft pick in this year’s class. Who doesn’t need a scoring machine who can rebound, run and defend? He’s also a high-motor [...]