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A New Hope

While it was overshadowed by the laughably disastrous Board of Governors meeting involving the Maloof family’s pitch to nix the arena deal they described as “fair” just over a month ago, the sale of the New Orleans Hornets to New Orleans Saints owner Tom Benson is potentially just as big of news for the NBA. After all this time, the NBA sold the team to Benson at cost – they purchased the team from previous owner George Shinn in December 2010 for approximately $310 million, spent another $20 million in the ensuing year and a half and sold to Benson for $330 million today – so the other 29 owners did not lose any money on the deal. The period of time during which the NBA owned and operated the Hornets will likely mostly be remembered for the “basketball reasons” controversy surrounding the vetoed Chris Paul to the Lakers trade, but it’s time to move on. The world has moved on, the league has moved on and now the team has moved on as well. Though this season has been extremely trying for the Hornets organization and their fans, views of the future bring reason for optimism.

Let’s begin with Benson. For starters, it’s obvious that he plans to keep the team in New Orleans long-term. NFL rules prohibit their team owners from owning a non-NFL team in another NFL city or territory than the one their NFL team is located in, so if Benson were to move the Hornets out of New Orleans to, say, Kansas City or Anaheim, he would be forced to either sell or transfer ownership of the Saints to someone else. Benson has owned the Saints since 1985 and they make him a boatload of money every year, so this is something that is highly unlikely to happen. Benson, also owner of several auto dealerships in the New Orleans area and former owner of Benson Financial, which he sold to Wells Fargo in 1996, has extremely deep pockets. Forbes estimated Benson’s net worth at $1.1 billion as of March 2012, making him the 390th richest man in America.

There is no guarantee that he’ll be an eager luxury-tax spender in what is still one of the smallest markets in the league, but at the very least he should be less frugal than the previous ownership regime. This is not a man who will be hurting for money (Any time you can spare $8 million without blinking, as Benson did when he donated that amount to Loyola University New Orleans in 2010, it’s safe to say you’re not cash-strapped). Between the incoming cash flow from owning the Saints and his auto dealerships, Benson should even have enough money to sustain losses for a few years while the Hornets regain the trust and loyalty of their fan base.

While the team this season has been one of the worst in the league, next year’s team is pretty much guaranteed to look drastically different. Shooting guard Eric Gordon, the big prize New Orleans received from the Clippers in the Chris Paul trade who has missed most of this season with an injury, is a restricted free agent this summer, but the Hornets are expected to bring him back into the fold. The expiration of the contracts of Chris Kaman and Carl Landry should leave the team about $19 million under the salary cap after factoring in Gordon’s cap hold (though that number will probably go down to somewhere around $10-13 million depending how large a deal Gordon signs), which leaves ample space to sign a free agent or two.

Additionally, the Hornets should have two high lottery picks in a draft that, although it doesn’t look to be quite as good as some predicted in the preseason, is still one of the best and deepest in years. The Hornets will have their own draft pick, which should be a guarantee to land in the top 5 (with the league’s 2nd-worst record, the Hornets could drop no lower than 5th in the lottery), as well as that of the Minnesota Timberwolves. Halfway through the season, that Wolves pick didn’t look like it would turn in great value as the Kevin Love and Ricky Rubi0-led squad was competing for a playoff spot. But Rubio’s season-ending ACL tear started the team on a downward spiral and Love’s recent concussion could possibly sideline him for the rest of the year as well. The Wolves’ pick would be 10th in the lottery right now, but without Rubio and Love for the rest of the season, it could wind up being even higher.

A full season – and hopefully a few more – of Gordon, two probable top-10 picks in a loaded draft, ample cap space and a brand new, deep-pocketed owner? Things are already looking up. And that’s even before we get to Monty Williams, considered by many to be one of the best young coaches in the NBA. Williams has somehow coaxed 16 wins so far out of a team that was missing Gordon for nearly the entirety of the season (he’s appeared in just 5 games), Landry, Jason Smith and Emeka Okafor for about half the season (33, 33 and 27 games, respectively), and Kaman, Jarrett Jack and Trevor Ariza for a few weeks each (45, 45, 41 games played, in that order). Williams, who played for the Knicks, Spurs, Nuggets, Magic and 76ers in his 10-year NBA career, began his coaching career as an assistant to Nate McMillan in Portland and also considers himself a disciple of Spurs coach Gregg Popovich, who many consider the best in the league. In an interview with Sports Illustrated’s Zach Lowe, Williams stated that he has taken plays out of both McMillan and Popovich’s playbooks and added them to his own. He’s also come up with a few innovative sets of his own, some that no one else in the league runs.

So, here we have a new owner with deep pockets, one of the best young coaches in the NBA, the return of Gordon, two high-lottery draft picks and a fairly significant amount of cap space to work with this summer (and after Gordon is signed, he’ll be the only player on the team under contract past 2014). Those are all the ingredients thought to be necessary for a successful rebuilding project, but the Hornets have one more thing going for them: the city of New Orleans. Though it’s not exactly a giant media market (according to a US Census Bureau survey in 2007, it is the 35th largest market in the United States and 23rd largest in the NBA), there’s no denying the New Orleans is one of the most attractive “destination” cities in the NBA. Considering the vibrant nightlife, excellent and exotic cuisine and laid back lifestyle prevalent throughout the city, it should be a hot location for free agents, but things haven’t exactly worked out that way in the decade the team has been in New Orleans. Though it likely won’t happen overnight – I don’t imagine Deron Williams or Dwight Howard will be clamoring to play for the Hornets in the next two summers – it’s possible that a culture change combined with the deep pockets of the new owner, a rising star of a young coach and an improving roster could lead to the team landing some higher tier free agents a few years down the line.

Even if they never get to that point of being a big free agent destination (and it’s more than likely that they won’t ever be an option for the biggest of the big fish), things are still looking much brighter for the future of the Hornets than their record this season indicates. A new era of Hornets basketball is on the horizon, and the sale of the team to Tom Benson is just the beginning.

All Your Kevins Are Belong To Us

Photo by maybeemily on Flickr

Before we embark on this, let me preemptively state that this post is a work of soft farce, a thought experiment, a bit of fluff. I put this all together mostly with Slam’s Top 500 players and my own knowledge of the game from the last decade and a half. I have missed players and ignored them. I suggest you point this out in the comments. I am not an actual All-Anything Team judge—I just play one on the Internet. We good? Good.

Just what is in a name? With Kevin Love’s ascension into the rarified air of the MVP conversation and the undeniably historic slant of his numbers, the debate began this season with Kevin Garnett’s return to the Target Center over the possibility that Love was a better Kevin than Garnett. But what about Kevin McHale? He didn’t play for the Timberwolves, but he was certainly all up in there with both successes and failures. And why should we have to choose? With all these discussions going on about how to fix the draft lottery and people floating (presumably) tongue-in-cheek suggestions about returning to the territorial drafts that tied players to their home regions, why not just organize players by their first name into teams?

This creates some obvious problems, but also some semi-interesting complications. First of all, Team Hakeem and Team Dikembe are pretty lonely teams. Of course, so is Team Kobe, but that’s probably the way he wants it.

More common names work out better, but looking at current NBA players and some of the greats (and not-so-greats) of the past, it’s odd to see how some names clump around certain positions. Team Steve is rather guard heavy, fielding Steve Nash, Steve Francis, and Stephon Marbury at the point guard position and Stephen Curry and Steve Smith at the two. Stephen Jackson shores up the small forward spot, but there’s a real lack of Steves who played the four or five to any acclaim.

Team Michael is similarly screwed: they can boast Michael Jordan, Michael Cooper, and Michael Redd at shooting guard, settle for Mike Bibby or Mike Conley at the one, and Michael Finley can capably handle the small forward position. Expanding the spelling a bit, Micheal Ray Richardson can help at the guard positions. But at power forward and center? Michael Beasley (who’s a stretch at the four now), Michael Doleac, and Michael Olowokandi. But of course, Jordan won a championship with Bill Wennington, so maybe it’s not impossible.

And just forget about Team Bob. They get Bob Cousy but otherwise it’s almost all big men: Bob Lanier, Bob McAdoo, and Robert Parish. Maybe you plug in Bobby Jackson at the two and put Robert Horry out of position at the three and hope you can just out-rebound the other team.

And so it goes with Team Richard (four SFs including Ricky Barry and Rick Fox plus two PGs in Ricky Rubio and Richie Guerin) and Team Jason (Jason Kidd, Jason Terry, Jason Richardson, Jason Williams). Most names seem kind of weirdly imbalanced in distribution.

There are genuinely only two names that can field top to bottom decent teams and we have to make a pretty big allowance for the first, Team Mark. For the sake of argument (is there any other sake in this fantasy world?), I’m allowing a wide variation in name here, which gives us:

PG: Mark Price
SG: Marcus Thornton
SF: Mark Aguirre
PF: LaMarcus Aldridge
C: Marc Gasol
Bench: Mark Jackson, Marques Johnson, DeMarcus Cousins, Marcus Camby

Aldridge and Gasol form a potent frontcourt with Cousins and Camby providing great punch off the bench rotating into the four and five spots. Moreover, you’ve got Price’s and Aguirre’s shooting and Jackson and Johnson (who coined the term “point forward”) to get them the ball, plus Thornton is a fine piece to plug in for scoring. You could even go deep and throw in Marc Jackson and Marco Bellinelli to shore up the rotation.

But man, all other names must quake in fear of Kevin when it comes to basketball. I mean, look at this:

PG: Kevin Johnson
SG: Kevin Martin
SF: Kevin Durant
PF: Kevin Garnett
C: Kevin Willis
Bench: Kevin Love, Kevin McHale, Kevin Duckworth, Kevin Porter

First of all, don’t sneeze at Kevin Willis. The man is ninth on the all-time double-double list ahead of Dikembe Mutombo with 480. And you know who’s fifth on that list? Kevin Garnett. There are THIRTY-TWO All-Star selections spread across this team, plus five NBA championships. You’ve got shooting from Johnson, Durant, and Love, post scoring from McHale and Garnett, defense from Garnett, rebounding from Love, Willis, and Garnett. Even the deep bench is solid with Duckworth and Porter. And while Kevin Martin isn’t a franchise player, he’d be a very good fifth-best player in a starting five. Plus you could add Kevin Ollie and Kevin Seraphin (who’s looked pretty good of late).

This basically clinches it. If you want your kid to be good at basketball, there’s only one name you can choose for him (or her?): Kevin.

Utah Jazz Moving Millsap, But Not The Way You Thought

Via Flickr - Moving Simplified

Late last season Utah Jazz head coach Ty Corbin had little to lose in a season not of his making, and so embarked on an experiment, one Jerry Sloan had contemplated but never found the inclination to employ for whatever get-off-my-lawn reason.

“…the admission was made, and it provided insight into whether Millsap hopes to return next season as a power forward or a small forward.

The 6-foot-8, 250-pounder has no problem switching positions and sliding over to the 3 spot on occasion — something he did toward the end of the season to play alongside fellow bigs Al Jefferson and Derrick Favors.”

-Jody Genessey, Deseret News

The short stints at the 3 were interesting, if mostly uneventful, last season, and hotly contested by fans and media. The prevalent thinking was that Millsap was too much the tweener — not big enough to impact the towering 4s, but not fleet enough to guard the quick 3s of the NBA — for him to be successful there. The sample size was so small there wasn’t much to be gleaned from Millsap’s 2% of the team’s minutes at the small forward in 2010-11. Yet even then, before the addition of Enes Kanter to the Jazz’s big man rotation, it was enough to spark debates centered around moving Millsap over so that natural defender Derrick Favors could get on the floor more.

Corbin had seen enough potential for a situational move to prompt him to tease us by saying he’d comtemplate using Millsap at the 3 more in the next season, the current one. So Paul set out in the offseason with the goal of adding to his rigorous routine more lower body training to develop the leg muscle required to try and keep the quick 3s in front of him should he see time on the floor with Jefferson and Favors manning the frontcourt.

There was some talk of seeing this bigger, longer lineup coming into the 2011-12 season, talk that was soon forgotten in vain when it never happened. Until a recent series of injuries that coincided with a slump, a seeming blessing in disguise.

On a three-game skid with Utah’s season hanging in the balance, the offense stagnating on the floor while opposing wings found their way into the paint too easily, once again Ty Corbin had little to lose. So he took a chance.

Midway through the second quarter early in April in the Rose Garden the Jazz were down 13, floundering while Nicolas Batum and Wesley Matthews were having their way with Utah when Paul Millsap entered the game at the small forward position. Bigger and stronger than both Batum and Matthews, the Jazz would close the quarter on a 21-11 run closing the gap to three by the break. And never look back.

Corbin trotted out his longer lineup to start the third quarter and it responded with a 14-1 run, Millsap dropping 19 second-half points, Batum and Matthews frustrated and helpless, stymied, unable to stop the stout tweener. These are precisely the types of players Millsap wasn’t supposed to be able to defend, but when you’re wearing out your man with a mismatch it has the inevitable effect of making an impact on the available energy reserves used on offense as well.

Since moving Millsap to the 3 for longer stints in that Portland game midway through 2Q, the Jazz have gone 4-2, the 22nd-ranked defensive squad holding four opponents to less than 100 points, Millsap, Favors, and Jefferson on the floor together a +32 plus-minus. The most effective lengthy lineup of Jamaal Tinsley plus Gordon Hayward — extremely lengthy at the 2-spot — in the backcourt, plus these more-traditional 4s have been wreaking unscouted havoc on the opposition.

From BasketballValue, this lineup boasts the best defensive rating of any of the most-used top 25 five-man units trotted out by Ty Corbin this year.

Even as this potent quintet sees more floor time as a spark plug when the system breaks down, and is reported as potential trouble by scouts, in a league where individual matchups dictate much of the odds of the outcome many times opposing coaches may find themselves powerless to hold back an often bigger and stronger Paul Millsap on the wing, especially with him netting career levels in FG% out to nine feet, leading the NBA in scoring on cuts to the basket, more able than ever to put the ball on the floor, a solid assist rate, and a career-low turnover percent.

It’s moving time in the playoff picture. And Ty Corbin and the Jazz always have extra options with an ever-improving, flexible hard worker like Millsap willing to get in there and mix it up in any fashion required to win.

Stories, Not Buildings: The Rise and Fall of Lin and Rubio

Photo by Gilderic Photography on Flickr

Worlds collide when a comment from tweet-God and suspected Corgi Netw3rk sparks a giant email exchange over the arcs of our teams’ feted and injured point guards, Jeremy Lin and Ricky Rubio.

Steve McPherson: So I’m interested in starting up this conversation because you responded to Steve Marsh’s excellent Grantland article on Ricky Rubio by saying, “The way he talks about Minnesotans feeling about Rubio is how NYers feel about Lin.” What I find interesting about that is that in a city where the baseball team is the most storied and dominant in the MLB, in a market that’s supposed to be the biggest for players, in an arena that’s called the “Mecca of basketball,” the Knicks are this sort of woebegone franchise that hasn’t won a championship since 1973. As a Wolves fan, it’s easy to feel semi-cursed and kind of ignored because, well, Minnesotans sort of have that attitude naturally, but New York is the center of the universe, right? I have plenty to say about Rubio and what he’s inspired for Timberwolves fans, but I’m interested in kicking off with your take on what Jeremy Lin has meant to Knicks fans, in both his rise and his loss for the season.

Netw3rk: The Knicks’ relationship to their fans is different from that of other New York sports teams because the Knicks are (for the time being) the only basketball team in town. When the Yankees are successful, Mets fans are unhappy; same for the Giants/Jets. So the ambient glow of Yankee championship trophies does very little to assuage the darkness in Madison Square Garden. What the glow does do is antagonize, annoy, and otherwise stoke the appetite for Knicks-flavored schadenfreude in the country at large. People love to see the Knicks be bad and the Knicks oblige.

Unlike the NBA’s other the big market teams, the Knicks are most often defined (to the periphery of the universe, anyway) by their failures: The Charles Smith Play, 2 for 18, Ewing’s finger-roll, the suspensions in the 1997 playoffs, the Ewing trade, McDyess’ knee injury, Layden, Isiah, Eddy Curry, Stephon Marbury, Jerome James, the sexual harassment lawsuit, the Larry Brown lawsuit, James Dolan, and on and on. The greatest Knick of my lifetime, Patrick Ewing, is practically a byword for coming up short. Kevin Garnett may have only gotten the Wolves out of the first round once, but no one named an idiotic theory after him.

Maester Aemon visiting the Cloisters, presumably.

And so into this environment materialized Jeremy Lin. Other messiahs arrived in New York anointed, self-proclaimed, and wearing expectations like a maester’s chains. Lin arrived equal parts unregarded and written off, at a moment when Knicks fans were staring another losing season square in its beady-black eyes. Something unexpected and good was finally happening to us. As the world-wide hype machine cranked up in an effort to cap the Linsanity gusher, I (and I suspect many Knicks fans) began to feel very protective of Lin. Marsh’s description of Minny fans’ similar emotions towards Rubio immediately struck a nerve for me. Like Rubio to Minneapolis, Lin was ours and we gripped him like a life-preserver.

Steve McPherson: I think this idea of the fans of any major sport in New York being split into those who root for the hard-luck team and those who root for the dynasty is fascinating. And the Knicks present a pretty interesting quandary in that respect. It seems to me that more than ever now—when people can follow pretty much any team they please via the Internet and premium TV packages—fans self-select themselves into these groups. For example, there’s an acquaintance I have who I’ve known as a Steelers fan for a long time, but one day it came up in conversation that he was from Texas. So I asked: “How is it that you’re a Steelers fan?” And he said his dad was in the military so they moved around a lot. Thus, he explained, he’s a Steelers, Yankees, Lakers fan. And I said, “Oh, so you’re a front-runner.” I mean, some people out there like rooting for a winner.

But that’s not me and I don’t say that as a way to posit that my fandom is better than his. I’m just psychologically wired to pull for the underdog—as I suspect are a lot of Mets and Jets fans. (Consider Jon Stewart’s hangdog Mets fandom.) Like last season in the playoffs, I was pulling for Memphis to beat OKC in the second round, but once OKC won, I started pulling for them to beat Dallas. And I think that kind of fan is uniquely primed to appreciate figures like Rubio or Lin because we want so badly to see success that feels not only earned but hard-won. Let’s face it: the Lakers don’t need you. The Heat don’t need you. And Minnesota fans like to be needed, even when their teams, frankly, suck.

It’s funny how you talk about Lin going from unheralded to celebrated and how this sparked a protective streak in Knicks fans because in some ways, Rubio’s curve was the inverse of that. There were all these high expectations for him that got tempered by his final mediocre season in the Euroleague and so when he arrived, there were probably more naysayers than boosters but Minnesota fans earnestly wanted him to succeed. And when he did, and almost right away, there was a sense that there was something special about him. I mean, let’s be clear: this team doesn’t go without Kevin Love. Period. I admire Love. I respect him. When he puts the team on his back as he did in March, it makes me appreciate what a unique talent and amazing player he is. But he doesn’t give me butterflies with his play the way Rubio did. I went to Target Center expecting magic early in the season and I was never disappointed. It was so much like that first really good relationship you have, where you feel this person exceeding everything you thought possible all the time in so many different ways. Rubio made it all right to feel again.

And I suspect Lin did some of the same thing for Knicks fans. Because as much as the team’s been built up in the last year with Anthony and Stoudemire, they have been distinctly built, and what we love are stories, not buildings. Lin brought, if anything, a better story than Rubio to the NBA, and for both of them, the tragedy of injury in some ways seems perversely fitting for those stories. But Minnesota is basically done now. We’re onto next year while the Knicks are clinging to that final playoff spot like grim death. If you’re writing the next chapter of the Lin story, where does it go? Does he return heroically in the playoffs? Or do the Knicks fade and fizzle? Do imagine Lin will even be on the Knicks next year?

Jeremy Lin, post-surgery

Netw3rk: While Lin has referred to himself as a “fast healer,” I’m hoping that—regardless of however Wolverine-ish he may feel—that he and the Knicks staff hold him out until they are sure he’s ready. Luckily, New York is on its fifth phase of the season, the potent “Woodsanity” phase, buoying the team through the unifying power of Mr. Potato Head.

What would I write for the next chapter of Lin’s story? That’s a tough question to ask because the story up to now has been pretty absurd. I guess if I had to imagine up some Linfanfic, I’d see him coming back for the playoffs since that would mean New York would’ve beaten either Chicago or Miami. In which case, Lin coming back would be a cherry made out of a giant ruby on top of a sundae made out of diamond-encrusted sports orgasm frosted with the tears of my enemies.

I think you nailed it with your description of the undulating curve of Ricky Rubio expectations. I went from a true believer to, if not a naysayer, certainly a maybe-sayer over Ricky’s disappointing Euroleague numbers. Speaking for myself, I think a lot of that had to do with not seeing him. Pre-NBA Ricky buzz seemed to peak during the 2008 Olympics and that was my first opportunity to watch Ricky play entire games on an actual television instead of six minute YouTube clips. There is something about certain players: just in watching them move about the court, you begin to understand that they know how to play. Ricky has that and, just speaking as a basketball nerd, that was exciting. If he drove to the basket he knew where his shooters should be; knew where his cutters were coming from. His body language alone said, “Yeah, I belong on a basketball court with Kobe Bryant and Chris Paul.” Once the Olympics were over, I didn’t see him play until this season; Euroleague games being difficult to follow from the ol’ U S of A. As soon as I saw him play his first game as a Timberwolf, I knew he was what we thought he was.

Just like Ricky’s, I had been following Lin’s career, but mainly because I am genetically obligated as an Asian-American to do so. His duel with John Wall was exciting and either quickly forgotten or dismissed when recalled as just one of those flukey things. What I remember about his Warriors’ campaign is a play where he didn’t pass the ball to Monta and then turned it over and Monta glaring steak knives at him and then Lin scuffling off to the bench. Needless to say, when the Knicks acquired him, my expectations were pretty darn low. Any buzz at all was generated from the prospect of having a point guard that would be not as claw-at-my-face terrible as Toney Douglas. So, to go from “meh” to “OMG this kid just dropped 38 on the Lakers at the Garden with the Garden going nuts and holy cow that spin move is this real or has my 2K12 create-a-player come alive?” was head spinning. What he did during the Linsanity period was take all the negativity and expectations and put it all on his back. It was no longer “How badly will the Knicks lose tonight and how badly did Dolan et al. screw up the Melo trade?”, it was “What will Jeremy Lin do tonight?” That respite from the traditional “Knicks as bumbling/tragicomic/nest of vipers” storyline was literally the most fun I’ve had watching the Knicks since ever. I put Linsanity up there with the Knicks’ 1999 postseason run. Reason being, both came out of nowhere.

Where he goes from here is anyone’s guess. He’s young enough to overcome his trademark weaknesses of not being able to go left and turning it over. Hopefully (rapping firmly on a piece of lumber) the knee surgery is nothing but a blip. I can’t imagine the Knicks not re-signing him as he is a nigh-bottomless goldmine and, oh yeah, a pretty good basketball player.

Steve McPherson: I’m impressed that the Knicks have at least five phases—in Minnesota, we typically have two: cautious optimism and resigned despair. The former usually lasts the first two weeks of the season and the rest is pretty much the latter. At least this year, we may have added “Midwestern jubilance” to the middle of the season before succumbing. Midwestern Jubilance is also the name of the new fragrance I have coming out later this summer.

If Lin can come back in the second round and write another chapter for himself as heroic as the one he wrote earlier this year with Linsanity, it will truly be something special. Fitzgerald saying there are no second acts in America will really be put to the test after Lin already pulled off the comeback from being cut by Golden State and Houston. An epic playoff return would be, by any conservative measure, his third death-defying act. I’d love to see it happen.

You’re so right that Rubio exudes something when he’s on the court and, at the risk of raising the ire of my more stats-minded colleagues, I think it might be something you just can’t measure. It will be too small a sample size to draw any real conclusions, but I’m interested to see how the Wolves do even just having Rubio back on the bench (that is, if Rubio even comes back to the bench, which I’m now doubting). I think there’s something about him that inspires confidence, that makes players want to do their best for him. That’s not an easy quality to find these days, and I’m curious if it might have to do with another thing from Marsh’s article where he quotes Rubio’s shooting coach, Jarinn Akana, as saying, “”The number-one important thing in the U.S. for any kid—I don’t care who you are or where you come from—is to shoot the ball and score. When you play pickup, that’s all you do.” Marsh also talks about how Rubio started playing pro so early that the best way for him to fit in was to get the older guys easy looks. What it all points to is Rubio taking a path to the NBA that is vastly different from players in the States who have always been the best (and often biggest, when they’ve redshirted at various levels) player on their team, the one who’s responsible for taking the last shot.

I’ve found myself wondering this about Lin as well. Even though he’s obviously more of a scorer than Rubio (and took that last second dagger against the Raptors), I feel like perhaps his experience of being glared at by Ellis and being sent down to the D-League and getting cut made him reconfigure his game in some ways that ultimately positioned him for success. I mean, consider the guys who are always the most athletic, the most high-scoring at every level until they get to the NBA and then just can’t figure out how to contribute in other ways.

But you got to see Lin more than I did. What’s your take on how his circuitous path to the NBA shaped the game he unveiled back in February? It certainly had a touch of the Robert Johnson myth of a kid being just OK, disappearing for a while, and coming back with what seemed an almost supernatural ability.

Netw3rk: Well, perhaps there is a crossroads somewhere in Erie, PA, where one can sell one’s eternal soul. When it comes to the basketball nature vs. nurture debate, I fall pretty squarely into nature. Rubios (and here I will use the sports media trope of referring to athletes as if they were cans of soup) are born, not made. Yes, Ricky’s on court experiences helped solidify his pass-first mentality, but you don’t pass like that unless passing like that is how you self-identify. Kobe was going to be a scorer before he ever played an organized game. So, I get what Akana is saying but I’m not so sure. I’d bet that at some point in their basketball lives, any human being capable of becoming a pro was the smallest/youngest/weakest player on the court. In my opinion, how they responded to that had less to do with placating the bigger/older/stronger players than to do with innate basketball DNA. I think it’s like how a musician is drawn to the music they always pictured themselves playing rather than becoming the musician that their teacher wanted them to become.

In this way, I think Lin’s path is illustrative of his innate confidence and, to some extent, stubbornness. Didn’t get accepted by a major college program? Doesn’t matter; I belong here. Undrafted? Doesn’t matter; I belong here. Can’t crack the rotation? D-league? Monta glaring at me? Can’t go left? Turnover prone? And so on and so on. He simply refused to believe that he wasn’t, and could never be, good enough. Now, there are lots and lots of players who will similarly refuse to believe they aren’t good enough. Lin just happened to 1) be right, 2) be ready for his shot and 3) get lucky enough to get one.

Steve McPherson: I think you’re really onto something with the stubbornness and confidence angle with Lin. As much as we profess to value flexibility and understanding, there’s a lot to be said for willfulness when it comes to getting the job done, to going out there and not taking no. I remember hearing something recently, probably on NPR, about this idea that parents shouldn’t worry too much about children who are stubborn because that stubbornness might just help them later in life when they need to negotiate a contract or go after a job.

On nature vs. nurture, though, I think I may be standing on the other side of the fence. I don’t think, for instance, that Darko Milicic was ever the smallest or weakest on the basketball court, and I think that might be part of the problem for him. It seems that playing basketball was less something he chose and more something that was thrust upon him, and so he’s never really owned it. And speaking to the musician point, I know, for instance, that I started getting into classic rock—Cream, Hendrix, etc.—because the guys I wanted to play with in high school were into that stuff. It then helped that my parents were into it. I just don’t know that I had a vision of what I wanted to be as a musician that early on. And so I feel like playing a sport might work the same way: you react to the situation you find yourself in, as Rubio reacted to being preternaturally gifted but also young by setting up the more experienced players.

Not pictured: Anthony Randolph

But to back out of that argument, it’s also interesting that somehow, even though we’ve talked about Rubio and Lin not being the kind of players who impose their will on the game, they actually do impose their will on the game in a very distinct way. One need only look at the way the Wolves have played since Rubio went down to see how much the way he played was a balm for so many players who look again like refugees from the Island of Misfit Toys. It seems like both Rubio and Lin did something very simple and similar for their teams this season: they made them feel good about being a bunch of guys playing a game. A lot of it came from their on-court skills, but just as much came from their on-court demeanor and the way their personal stories dovetailed with the fates of their franchises. Recent injuries have put obstacles in the road, but it’s hard not to be optimistic about these two players.

Any final thoughts?

Netw3rk: The nature vs. nurture debate is so fascinating precisely because we can never know. I suspect the answer is some amalgamation of our two ideas with a bunch of things we could never imagine. On the one hand: sure, Ricky’s experiences as a Muppet Baby pro-basketball player helped shape his incredible altruism and court vision. On the other hand: if that’s the case, why aren’t there hundreds of other Rubios pouring out of the European continent like some Gothic horde?

On the imposing of wills: point guards are suited to controlling the pace of a game more than any other player on the court. They are like a team’s steering wheel. Lots of people have gone on and on about how this is a great point guard era blah blah blah and it’s true. The number of noteworthy point guards in the league right now is incredible; certainly more than at any time since I’ve been watching basketball. Magnifying those players’ abilities are the semi-recent hand checking rule tweaks and the revolutions in offensive play spearheaded by now former Knicks coach Mike D’Antoni. Speaking for myself, it is an immense relief to have Lin on the roster. As incomplete a player as he is, you can’t really succeed in today’s NBA without a point guard, and New York finally has one. It will be a greater relief when 1) he is fully healed and 2) he is re-signed.

These are my absolutely final thoughts, forever:

  • I hope that our point guards’ knee parts regenerate better than new.
  • While I have no idea what Lin’s ceiling will end up being, I’m pretty sure Rubio’s ceiling is “Perennial All-Star.”
  • I would be more than satisfied if Lin ended up averaging 12 to 14 points and 7 assists while shooting a decent percentage.
  • I like to imagine that Ricky’s private physician is Pau Gasol.

Knicks Center Tyson Chandler Is Probably Better Than You Think, No Matter What You Think

Tyson Chandler is not the most talented center in the NBA, and he’s often not the most outstanding player in the moment, but he’s a damn good NBA player. In fact, no matter how good you think he is, Tyson Chandler is probably better than you can reasonably project. When the New York Knicks acquired the 7-foot-1 big man in a sign-and-trade on a four-year, $56 million contract in December of 2011, they got quite a deal. That’s just the truth, and it goes well beyond his defensive value.

Honestly, there’s no better time to start appreciating one of the NBA’s best centers than right now. The subtlety of his impact creates an atmosphere where his game can easily be obfuscated by those old, trusty basketball tropes and idioms. He “does all the little things.” He’s “a consummate team player.” The Knicks “couldn’t survive without him.” All of that is absolutely true, by the way, but none of it can quite capture what Chandler does on the court. If every NBA GM had an opportunity to reprogram the undisciplined, ultra-athletic seven-footer hanging around on their roster, they would use Chandler as the blueprint for a successful rebirth.

It starts with defense. The Knicks haven’t jumped from 21st to 5th in defensive efficiency this season by accident. It’s almost inconceivable that Chandler could play alongside some potentially porous combination of Carmelo Anthony, Amar’e Stoudemire, Jeremy Lin and Baron Davis and still transform the Knicks into an elite defensive unit, but that basketball miracle has come to fruition this season. In fact, the general trend that more good things happen with Chandler on the court has been in development for years. Here’s a rough-chop look at his defensive impact with four different teams over the past four seasons:

Chandler knows his role on the court and plays to his strengths. He’s not faster or quicker than the opposing point guard penetrating into the lane, but he often beats that man to the spot with his anticipation, awareness and length. Opposing big men struggle to break his disciplined approach and steal easy baskets under the rim. He knows defense is his calling card, and clearly stated his goals during the introductory press conference back when some guy named Mike D’Antoni used to coach the Knicks:

“I know what my job is in coming here. I know I came here to defend. I’m going to defend the rim and I’m going to rebound. I’m going to get extra shots. I know if we play on both ends, and we play as a team, the sky is definitely the limit.”

With a record hovering around .500 and an eye on the eighth seed in the Eastern Conference playoff bracket, I’m not sure New York has to worry about the sky limiting their ascent at this point, but defense is not the problem. As noted by ESPN’s John Hollinger, Chandler is single-handedly turning the Melo-STAT pairing into some viable semblance of a core by taking care of the point prevention thing along with Iman Shumpert and Landry Fields. Even so, fans have been more likely to chant Lin’s name than Chandler’s this season. Such is life for the big man.

The Dallas Mavericks unquestionably benefitted from Chandler’s superb defensive abilities during their championship run last season, but even then he finished third in Defensive Player of the Year voting, didn’t even place that high on ballot of Mavericks beat writer Eddie Sefko and received zero first-place votes. Chuck Hayes (2), Grant Hill (1), and Keith Bogans (1) received more first-place votes for 2011 DPOY, so it seems fair to say that Chandler isn’t always turning heads with his brand of basketball. But who cares if he doesn’t turn heads, because he transforms teams. Hollinger is absolutely on point with his recent endorsement of Chandler for 2012 Defensive Player of the Year (insider only).

Now what if I told you Chandler was in the midst of one of the most efficient offensive seasons in the history of the NBA?

It would be a mistake to suggest that he is some sort of offensive centerpiece, but to overlook his contribution on that end of the floor is criminal. Resident basketball sage and Hardwood Paroxysm godfather Matt Moore couldn’t have put it more perfectly when he wrote about Chandler as the perfect “clean-up man” for New York back in December of 2011:

Interesting differential in years where the Spurs killed people and where they didn’t. In years they did, Duncan had what I call the “clean-up man.” It’s someone who just waits, grabs, and lays it in. Because the double-team on Duncan was so rough, that Duncan would miss long, rebound to the other side, and there’s Fabricio Oberto. Just waiting. And watching.

Chandler causes more problems because he’s better than those clean-up men. He’s a legitimate threat. He has the hands to catch and finish, can jam back the putback over a smaller defender, and has enough offense to create a few buckets here and there. He’s like the deluxe version of the clean-up man. And that kind of role addition is a game-changer for teams.

Amen, Matt. Amen. First let’s take a look at his impact on team rebounding through the same lens applied to his defense:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chandler grabs plenty of rebounds on his own, but he’s always around the rim and contributes with innumerable box-outs and tap-outs as well. The percentage bumps in rebounding paint his value with a broad brush, but a closer look at the details just enhances the beauty of his art.

Consider the following facts regarding Tyson Chandler’s offensive game:

(1) He owns the highest True Shooting percentage of any active NBA player (60.8% TS).

(2) He is on pace to post the highest single-season True Shooting Percentage of any player in NBA history (here is the full list on Basketball-Reference).

(3) As first noted by Benjamin Hoffman of the New York Times, he is also primed to claim the third-best single-season field goal percentage in NBA history (here is the full list on Basketball-Reference).

Tyson Chandler: the ULTRA deluxe clean-up man. The title sounds slightly pejorative, but that’s not the case. It also looks like another glossy basketball trope, but it comes far too close to reality for dismissal on those grounds. Of the 610 points Chandler has scored this season, 608 of them have come from either the free throw line or within the paint. You read that correctly. He has 275 points from the free throw line, 335 points in the paint and one lone 16-foot jump shot from the third quarter of a Feb. 3 game against Boston Celtics. It’s not as if he’s missing a ton of jumpers either, as you can see from his 2011-12 shot chart (via Basketball-Reference’s Play Index+ tool and then NBA.com/Stats):

Could Chandler do more on pick-and-pops? Probably. He shot a more than respectable 21-44 (48.0 percent) from 16-23 feet last season with the Mavs, but that can’t hold a candle to his fifth-highest rate in the NBA on basket cuts (1.47 ppp) and ninth-best mark when diving to the rim as a roll man on PnR (1.23 ppp), which comes via MySynergySports.com. I like to think that he isn’t willing to sacrifice interior impact on putbacks, tap-out rebounds and drop-step finishes for a few more points and the tenuous prospect of slightly better spacing. The craft is already perfected. Practical talents and wise decisions have compounded so often that he appears to dictate the merger of the right place and right time on a regular basis. Tyson Chandler may not conform to the NBA’s marketed brand of “spectacular” but he’s probably better than you think, no matter what you think.

Lester Hudson And The Joy Of Tanking

Photo by tim_cornett via Flickr

There have been seemingly infinite posts written in the past few weeks on tanking. Some on this site, countless others on other sites. The vast majority of which paint a target on the negative side of tanking, and each writer has his own ideas on how to fix it. Should the Bobcats be rewarded for throwing out a team night after night that makes fans openly wonder if the University of Kentucky could beat them (side note: they cannot)? Is it “fair” that some teams exist in the “too good to get a high draft pick, too bad to make a serious run at a title” situation recently dubbed  the Treadmill of Mediocrity? What can be done to ensure that fans are getting their hard earned money’s worth when they head to the arena? All of these are valid questions, and they rightly have served as the match on a powder keg of debate. What few people have talked about however, is the brighter side of tanking. Namely, the opportunity to see young guys, often D-League call-ups, fight for their chance to make an NBA roster is often the only reason worth tuning into a game between two bottom dwellers like the Cavs and the Nets. After all, it’s opportunities like this that have given us the joy that is Lester Hudson.

Hudson was drafted by the Boston Celtics with the 58th pick in 2009. Coming out of the basketball powerhouse known as the University of Tennessee-Martin, Hudson…wait, did I say basketball powerhouse? Per basketball-reference.com, here is an exhaustive list of NBA players from UTM: Lester Hudson. Prior to this past week, Hudson’s greatest basketball accomplishment was recording the first ever quadruple double in the history of Division I basketball, a scintillating 25 point, 12 rebound, 10 assist, 10 steal performance in only his third game at UTM. Since then, he has acted as a yo-yo bouncing between rare action in the NBA and various D-League affiliates. In just three short years, Hudson has been claimed by the Boston Celtics, Memphis Grizzlies, Washington Wizards, and Cleveland Cavaliers. He has spent time in the D-League with the Maine Red Claws, Dakota Wizards, and Austin Toros. For good measure, he spent most of the 2011 calendar year in China playing for teams in Guangdong and Qingdao. Depending on whether you want to be optimistic or pessimistic, he has either been one of the most wanted or unwanted men in the league over the past few seasons. Personally, all Hudson wanted was an opportunity to prove that he belong in the Association. Luckily for him, a rash of backcourt injuries to the Cavs (Kyrie Irving, Booby Gibson, Anthony Parker) meant that opportunity came knocking. Hudson didn’t just answer the door; he ripped the damn thing off of its hinges.

Yes, it is only a three game tear that Hudson is currently experiencing, and if Jeremy Lin has taught us anything this year, it’s not to overboard with falling in love over a handful of spirited efforts. However, it’s hard not to be impressed by what Hudson has been doing. Since April 6, he has posted a lines of 23-2-7 against the Raptors in a win, 26-4-3 against the Nets in a loss, and 25-8-6 in last night’s win over the Bobcats. Though just looking at the numbers indicates he stuffed the stat sheet more last night, the Nets game was clearly his most memorable performance to date. Of his 26 points in the game, 18 came in a stunning fourth quarter. Down 109-106, the Cavs had a decision to make. Take the loss, pick up some lottery ping pong balls and go on their merry way or try to make something happen. It’s the former decision that is the very definition of tanking; it’s the latter decision that creates moments for an unknown player to shine. Choosing to go for broke and riding the hot hand, the Cavs got the ball to Hudson with only a few ticks remaining on the clock and his ten day contract. Channeling his inner Ray Allen, Hudson let fly a half-fadeaway, half-falling toward the baseline shot:

When the ball had dropped through the net, it was Hudson’s sixth three point of the night and sent the game to overtime. With his game long performance, particularly his out-of-nowhere fourth quarter, he transformed the thinking in the IZOD Center and in television sets across the country from “Who is that?” to “How did he do that?” One can only assume that John Starks was wondering “Did this dude just did this?” All of the sudden, nothing made sense. Black was east; up was white. A suburb of Cleveland even renamed their city after him based on his performance! OK maybe not that last one; the city of Hudson has been around since 1799 which predates the Cavaliers franchise by a mere 171 years. Still though, he has been the talk of the town ever since. He’s become the Midwest version of Linsanity, Hudsonity, if you will. Lester Hudson has proven that he is here to stay, and the Cavs stood behind him by giving him another ten day contract following the Nets game – a contract that will almost assuredly be extended through the end of the season in the near future.

Shockingly, it wasn’t too long ago that the Cavs were legitimate contenders for the eighth seed in the East. The debate soon started afterwards on whether it would be more beneficial to make a run at the playoffs and build a “winning culture” or bottom out and try to get as high of a draft pick as necessary. An injury to Rookie of the Year in waiting Kyrie Irving coupled with a nine game losing streak quickly provided the answer in March as the Cavs, some would say, turned tanking into an art form by plummeting to the fourth worst team in the league at one point. For some fans of other teams out of the playoffs, April can be a taxing time, pun completely intended. It’s difficult to watch one’s favorite team’s veterans trot out a lackadaisical effort night after night and get blown off the court. For those lucky enough to be afforded a glimpse into the possible future of their team though, it can be a fun and rewarding experience. Maybe the games don’t have the intensity of a Heat-Celtics game, and maybe the quality of play isn’t the greatest, but seeing guys like Lester Hudson doing everything they can to make the most out of the chances they are given is a rewarding experience itself. It’s been a fantastic week for Hudson, and I truly hope he can keep it up going forward into next year. In just the past few games, he has put up a number of box score accomplishments that none of us saw coming, but beyond the box score and YouTube clips, there is one incredible thing that Lester Hudson has done; he’s made a 19-36 team exciting to watch. That may be his greatest accomplishment of all.

Jared Dudley: From Fudgie The Whale To Dread Pirate Roberts

Photo courtesy of the artistic genius of HP's own Amin Vafa

8. The evolution of Jared Dudley

Players don’t have to make huge leaps or evolve into stars to make themselves more valuable. The Suns’ Dudley is a great example. Once a spot-up shooter, Dudley has gradually gotten better at running off screens for catch-and-shoot plays and even posting up smaller players when he draws a switch. He’s a creative finisher near the rim, capable of using up-and-unders and funky angles on the glass. Kudos to one of the NBA’s Twitter All-Stars, who becomes more well-rounded every season.

via The Point Forward » Posts Monday Musings: Mavericks’ failures this season go beyond Lamar Odom «.

Over the course of his five-year NBA career, Jared Dudley has made the transition from human manifestation of Fudgie the Whale to professional basketball’s Dread Pirate Roberts.

If your only exposure to Fudgie the Whale is a Patton Oswalt stand-up routine, you might not know that Fudgie is a cake (though if you’re a Simpsons fan, you know it’s the kind of thing you give to “a whale of a wife”). Yes, a delicious, heavyset dessert is the best comparison for Jared Dudley when he came into the league. Fudgie was often marketed as a cake for Father’s Day — yes, that was a thing in the 70s and 80s — but, by rotating the cake 90 degrees, cake artists (the most fulfilling of life’s careers, I assume) could turn Fudgie into a leprechaun, a rabbit or Santa Claus; Fudgie could be all things to all people, depending on the season.*

*He also taught children of those decades an important lesson — everything that is adorable or celebrated for a holiday should be turned into sugary confections and devoured. Thousands of years from now, anthropologists will compare our cetacean obsession to Aztec ritual sacrifices. Of this, I am convinced.

But at his sweet, decadent core, Fudgie was a whale. One could pretend his tail was bunny ears or Santa’s hat, but that’s not fooling anyone. Such was the case with Dudley, a rather rotund combo forward, as a rookie. Not athletic enough to effectively play small forward but too short (at a listed 6’7″) to realistically play the four, he seemed doomed to Fudgie status. Nominally, this positional purgatory meant he provided a certain semblance of versatility and flexibility. In practice, he was a sea-going mammal trying to hide his tail in an NBA jersey and shorts.

I wonder what an anthropomorphised Fudgie would look li... DEAR SHAMMGOD, IT'S TERRIFYING. (Photo by fudgiewhale via flickr, which I guess makes it a self-portrait in horror)

Then Dudley was traded to Phoenix. Upon his arrival in the desert, he went to work shedding excess weight and refining his game. Credit Steve Nash, credit the Suns’ training staff or credit Dudley himself; in any case, the man made of cake reshaped his body and his potential as a basketball player. Playing alongside Nash undoubtedly bolstered Dudley’s performance and numbers, but the improvement in Dudley’s game was immediate. He posted then-career highs in points and rebounds per 36 minutes in his 48 games in purple and orange, and his win shares per 48 minutes hit .126.

That number is a perfect depiction of what Dudley has become. Since the trade, his WS/48 has never exceeded .129 or dipped below .125. He is essentially 25% better than a replacement level player (defined here as one who provides .100 WS/48). His production, in raw, statistical terms, really hasn’t increased over his years in Phoenix. His total rebound percentage has hovered slightly over 8%. He’s practically an average player as gauged by PER, consistently posting an efficiency rating around 15. As Phoenix’s offensive options have faded over the last two seasons, Dudley’s usage percentage has increased, but just barely. He’s added the ability to step up and fill Grant Hill’s shoes as a perimeter defender to some extent when Hill has missed time, but he’s nowhere near the level of defender that Hill is.

It’s that willingness to do whatever is asked of him and whatever the team needs on a given night, though, that’s truly marked Dudley’s improvement. He’s the Suns’ Dread Pirate Roberts. His role in each game is defined by his teammates, his opponents and the ever-changing situation on the court. One never knows what exactly he’ll bring — or be asked to bring — to the table; his duties are masked, like Wesley’s face, to protect the innocent and to disguise his utility and true purpose. When coach Alvin Gentry chose to start Vince Carter ahead of Dudley last year, he took it in stride and performed admirably off the bench. When the Suns were struggling to find consistency in their rotations at the start of the year, Dudley willingly came off the bench to try to provide a spark to the second unit. Over the course of five games, from January 18th to the 27th, Dudley’s starting spot was given to Ronnie Price.*

*Those five games seem like a bad fever dream at this point. Was there really a stretch of the season where Nash and Price started alongside each other? That had to have been a hallucination, right?

That experiment failed fairly miserably — the Suns went 2-3, including a loss to the Raptors, and Dudley shot 38.7% from the field — but Dudley’s “As you wish” mentality cements his place in the NBA as the ultimate glue guy. Need someone to crash the boards? As you wish; he has two double-digit rebound games so far this season, and against the Wolves on March 12th, he helped pick up the slack by equaling Channing Frye and Marcin Gortat’s combined nine rebounds.

Is your lockdown defender sidelined by old age and leg injuries, putting you in need of a replacement to wear the mask as the team’s best wing player? As you wish; since Grant Hill has been out of the lineup for the past eight games, Dudley has been tasked with guarding the opponent’s best wing scorer or ballhandler and has generally acquitted himself well, though he was fortunate that Kobe Bryant, Hater Of The Sun, was out when the Lakers came to town on Saturday.

On your way through the Fire Swamp to avoid Humperdinck’s army and looking for someone to guide you? As you wish.

What both the Suns and fans of the team have found is that when Dudley utters those three words, what he really means is that he loves this team and its fans. And that makes it extremely easy to love him right back. He’s not the best player in the world, but he’s one of my favorites.

Now who wants some cake?

The Hardwood Paroxysm Awards: Rookies, FAST Don’t Lie, and THE Perimeter Stopper

Because there can never be enough awards, acronyms, recognition, or roundtables, HP proudly presents the HPAs. In true HP style, the Matty goes to…

Widely considered a “weak” draft class coming in, there’s been several nice surprises creating more depth from the Class of 2011 than expected. In hindsight, who gets the Matty for Most Underrated Rookie Coming In?

Jared Dubin: It’s got to be Isaiah Thomas, right? The guy was the 60th pick in the draft and now he’s a starting point guard and one of the most fun players to watch in the entire league. He’s not just a niche player like his size may suggest, either. Thomas can get into the lane, finish over the giants who await him there (61.3 at-rim FG% as of this writing), dish it to open teammates and hold his own on defense as well.

Amin Vafa: I know he was #1 overall, and he’s going to win ROY by a landslide, but I have to say Kyrie Irving. A lot of people thought he wasn’t going to cut it with his 11 games of NCAA experience. And no one, especially not anyone in the Cavs organization, thought he was going to be ready to be a franchise guy from the get-go. The Cavs are looking good in the years to come, thanks in large part to him.

Scott Leedy: Is it possible to say Ricky Rubio? It feels like so much time passed after the initial “OH MY GOD RICKY RUBIO IS GONNA BE SO GOOD” phase that by the time he was set to arrive in the states most people had written him off. Many questioned his Euro stats, his inability to shoot, and inconsistent playing time both for the Spanish National team and his Euro-league squad. Once Ricky showed up and started dropping incredible pass after incredible pass it became clear the initial hype was more than warranted.

Andrew Lynch:  I’m going to preface this DDL-style and say that every player in the league is rated, not over- or underrated. With that said, I’m going with the Manimal, Kenneth Faried. He leads all rookies who have played more than 500 minutes this season in WS/48 (.201), and he’s so “underrated” that he struggled in the early going to even get consistent playing time. His energy (cliché alert!) is infectious, and it manifests itself in his rebounding. His 19.3% Total Rebound Percentage is formidable, and his 15.9% Offensive Rebound Percentage is second in the league only to Nikola Pekovic.

Anytime you’re the man right behind Pek, you get my vote — for pretty much anything.

Sean Highkin: If the 2011 draft were done over again, Isaiah Thomas wouldn’t make it out of the lottery, let alone fall all the way to the last pick of the last round. The fact that he won Rookie of the Month the same month as the no. 1 overall pick, Kyrie Irving, says a lot.

Best Offensive Rookie?

JD: Kyrie Irving. Ricky Rubio was giving him a run for his money, but then the Basketball Gods decided they hated all of us. Irving is a spectacular, hyper-efficient scoring talent who is underrated in his ability to run an offense as well. If the Cavs had anyone outside Irving and – ugh – Antawn Jamison who could score, he would have averaged well more than 5.7 assists per game. For much of the season, Kyrie was seriously challenging to go 50/40/90 with his percentages, which would have just been unreal. As it is, he’s just the 4th rookie ever to go 45/40/85. This kid is special.

AV: Isaiah Thomas. He is so freakin’ fast, and he’s fearless getting to the rim. After having an absurdly dominant big-man who can score at will in the paint, I think having a super-quick small guard who can score at will in the paint is an awesome offensive weapon in a pinch. Play broken? No matter! Let the little guy run it through! Analysis!

SL: As good as Rubio was before the injury, it has to be Kyrie Irving. He’s relentless and already has an incredibly ability to get to the rim. Furthermore he’s had a couple spectacular late game performances that are rarely seen in a rookie, let alone at point guard, the league’s most difficult and complex position. Oh, and let’s not forget that spin move, what a glorious spin move it is indeed.

AL: At the risk of invoking the wrath of Conrad, I’m going with Isaiah Thomas. My inclination was to pick Kyrie Irving (duh), but he and Thomas are actually tied for the lead among rookies in offensive win shares, at 3.2. He also just outpaces Irving in Points Per Possession (per Synergy Sports), .96 to .94. Thomas has done it in slightly fewer minutes than Irving, so he barely gets the nod here. Please don’t hurt me, Cavs fans.

SH: Has to be Kyrie. I knew he’d be good, but I didn’t think he’d be this good this fast. Everything about his play and the way he shepherds the Cavs’ offense is remarkably poised, especially when you consider he only had 11 games of NCAA experience.

Most Impactful Rookie Defender?

Via Super Cool Zs, Zach Harper-Jared Dubin, DDL

JD: YES. My blatant campaign to give an award to Iman Shumpert worked! I’m shocked none of you called me out on this in the e-mail chain. Shump, along with Tyson Chandler and Jared Jeffries, has been one of the main catalysts in the Knicks’ rising from a bottom 10 defense in the league to a top 5 one. Though he needs some work on team defensive concepts like defending the pick-and-roll and staying home on spot-up shooters, he’s become an absolute lock-down 1-on-1 defender already. Through Friday, players isolating on Shumpert made a field goal ONLY ONE PERCENT MORE OFTEN THAN THEY TURNED THE BALL OVER. How high is this kid’s ceiling defensively? #ShumpShumpShrug

AV: Rubio. I don’t think anyone expected him to be such a fantastic defender, but ask Adelman and any attentive Wolves fan what the defense has been like since Rubio’s been out, and they’ll tell you that he is sorely missed. Dude’s a phenom, and I’m so glad we finally get to see him in action (well, aside from the injury and stuff).

SL: After what he did to Derrick Rose on Sunday it has to be Iman Shumpert. Shump already has some of the best hands I’ve ever seen in this league, combine that with a relentless, bull dog like attitude, and the requisite foot speed to stay in front of some of the league’s quickest guards and you have a lock down defender in the making.

AL: Shumptastic voyage is the people’s champion in this category. …Jared represents “the people,” right?

But seriously, Shump is the only rookie whose defensive win shares is 2.0 or higher, which gives him a claim to the title of “best rookie defender.” Combine that with the impact that he’s had — alongside the acquisition of Tyson Chandler and the Phoenician rebirth of Jared Jeffries — on the Knicks’ defensive improvement, and this is Shump’s Matty to lose.

SH: Iman Shumpert. Outside of Tyson Chandler, he’s the first guy that comes to mind when talking about the improvements the Knicks have made on defense from last season to this one.

Editor’s note: Is this the birth of “Shumping”? ™ WaitWUT…

Gail Goodrich recently said, “Certainly the game today, the players are quicker and faster. I think they’re even smarter. How did the game change? We averaged 121 points a game. You can’t average that [today] because the defense is back.” Who reels in a Matty for Fleet And Swift Transition Player of the Year?

JD: LeBron James. He leads the league in both points off turnovers and fast break points per game by a healthy margin and doubles as the most intimidating player in the league to stare down as he’s leading the break. His athleticism, finishing ability and insane court vision make him damn near impossible to guard in the open court.

AV: As much as it pains me to say it, this has to be a tie between Wade and James, right? God, that break is crazy good. It ain’t called a Flying Death Machine for nothing. Honorable mention goes to Leandro Barbosa, since I love picturing him running ahead of a bunch of other fast objects as depicted in The Free Darko Macrophenomal Pro Basketball Almanac.

SL: I have to give this award to the combination of Dwyane Wade and LeBron James. I’m not sure there’s anything more breathtaking in sports right now then when those two are barreling down upon a helpless opponent, building a head of steam, creating the ever powerful anticipation that comes along with the seemingly limitless possibility they carry in their every move.

AL: I AM THE LEBRON JAMES TRAIN OF STEEL, AND I AM HERE FOR YOUR TRANSITIONS. ALL OF THEM.

SH: It’s the predictable answer and the same one everyone else has given, but LeBron is on a different level in transition from anyone else in the league.

Tony Allen sweeps grit

How about your Best of the Backcourt Stoppers?

JD: Tony Allen and it’s really not all that close.

AV: I’ll say Tony Allen, but mostly because he growled at James Herbert.

SL: Tony Allen, seriously just watch him for one night, the guy is a relentless, ball-hawking, pain the the opposing team’s ass. Might LeBron and Iggy be better? Sure it’s possible, but for now at least I’ll take the NBA twitter kingpin every day of the week.

AL: Does Kobe count? Because, you know, he stops the Lakers offense all the time!

Jokes, Lakers fans. Jokes. It’s Tony Allen. And I!!! think he would agree!

SH: The best)) perimeter defender is! the one who )grits and grinds the most!!!

A Hero Comes

Photo by Pensiero on Flickr

There are many, many logical and sound reasons to conclude that what we call “hero ball” is a terrible way to try to win basketball games. Speaking statistically, paying attention to the ins and outs of advanced metrics, a player working in isolation in the clutch is at best a shakey proposition. At worst, it not only loses the game, but pisses off teammates. And yet it happens all the damn time.

Take the game this past Easter Sunday between the Knicks and the Bulls. Once the Knicks blew their gargantuan lead, they found themselves down three with thirty seconds to play. And they drew up a beauty of a play that you can read all about here, but for now, just watch it:

Just look at that: solid screens, fake action, Melo being generous with the rock, an unexpected player getting a wide open look. And the shot doesn’t go in.

By way of contrast, let’s watch Carmelo Anthony’s game winner in overtime:

This is by any definition hero ball. Just a spot up three-pointer by the team’s best player and it won them the game. This was, by the way, after an earlier Anthony three that was just as flagrantly heroic tied the game to send it to overtime.

And we loved every single minute of it. Anybody who’s ever argued for the sanity and reason of running well-designed plays should admit that they were as floored by this as any casual fan who still judges players by their rings. We loved it because we’re more Kirk than Spock, more Han Solo than C3PO. We don’t want to know the chance of successfully navigating the asteroid field is is approximately three thousand, seven hundred twenty to one. We don’t want to hear that the odds of getting out of here are  approximately seven thousand eight hundred twenty four point seven to one. When the game is on the line, we don’t want a fancy plan. We want:

And I’m not citing those pop culture examples just for fun. See, our stories teach us to go against the odds. They tell us that against all reason, one hero must emerge from the rabble and lead the good guys to victory against every expectation we have for failure. When people say they want the ball in Kobe’s hands with the clock winding down, it’s not even really because they think he has a better chance of hitting that last shot than another player. It’s because the story demands that he take and make that last shot.

None of this is to say that attempting to make mathematical sense of the game or indeed that any attempt to bring more reason and clarity to the game is ill-advised. The game needs to evolve, to become something new in response to new ideas. But isn’t its wild ridiculousness what lies at the core of our love for it? Isn’t this ultimately why sports are so great in the first place? Truly great games like the Knicks-Bulls tilt this past Sunday stand on the border between the real world and fiction. The stories inside them lash out at the rules that give the game structure, at the probabilities and plans and diagrams. Hero ball doesn’t make statistical sense, but it makes narrative sense for people who grew up on stories of heroes overcoming fantastic odds. Can it demonstrably be show to hurt your team’s chance to win? Absolutely, but one need look no further than the trials of LeBron James to see that there are a lot of people who would rather see him lose with the ball in his hands than make the smart play.

Basketball is not just a sport, not just a reflection of percentages and points and metrics. It’s a reflection of our culture, of both its best and worst aspects. Every buzzer-beating three affirms it in our blood: we might take a Steve Novak jumper home to mom and dad, but we want to stay out all night and party with a Carmelo Anthony iso.

Blake Griffin and Identity

httpv://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sh2ZT1aPBoE

You’d think turning from young, emerging hero to frequent villain would take more time. The path to widespread dislike is meant to take longer, a winding trip from years of spotlight and questionable play. But it’s 2012, and over the last four months, Blake Griffin has morphed into a player that often generates fan distaste, angry Lakers’ message board activity, and comments like this from opposing players:

“(Griffin is) in L.A. where actors belong,” Cousins said. “He’s an actor, so of course he would say (that he wasn’t worried about it).”

via Sacramento Bee: On testy night, a foul end for Kings

DeMarcus Cousins isn’t happy with Blake Griffin’s demonstrative, acting ways, and he isn’t alone. Many of you reading this are likely upset or not particularly pleased with Griffin, whether it’s because of his elbow-led dunks or unnecessary stare downs. Maybe you just think he’s a complainer. Griffin certainly hasn’t done much to separate himself from that on the court, and all of those grievances hold some viability. But, aside from the oft-vicious dunks, how does that set Griffin apart from a number of players in the NBA?

Of course, it wasn’t always like this. Before the Clippers played countless games on national television, before the Chris Paul trade, before the team dared to characterize themselves as contenders, back when they were the Clippers of lore, Griffin delighted fans. Only the occasional Clippers’ game was available to a national audience, and Griffin’s dunks and leaps were the only thing that held space in the minds of many fans. He looked to be the best dunker of a generation, capable of terrific production and obscene displays of athleticism. Most of all, Griffin was still young, and as a player, he could only grow. Griffin is still the same player, but perception has shifted 180 degrees. That much became evident on Wednesday night.

What changed? Not much, except attention and the realization of Griffin’s continued determination to establish himself as a physical force. Griffin isn’t a good defensive player, but he seems determined to convince opposing teams that the painted area sits in front of his basket. The retention of that area’s dominance might require the occasional flop, as DeMarcus Cousins alluded to above, or a well-placed push, as Pau Gasol might attest to, but Griffin is willing to make that sacrifice. Whether this display of physical force serves Griffin well is debatable, but it’s something Griffin seems to strive towards, and perhaps something he’s looked to establish since his rookie year. Only now, the cameras are unified and pointed straight at him.

Anyone who has ever competed in a sport has complained about officiating, and NBA players are no different. What sets Griffin apart are his methods. These methods are still hardly to unique to him as a star, but they’ve become an attached stigma to his play. The wild arm raises and gesticulations come to mind, but Griffin’s known complaint trademark comes when he puts both hands on his head and disbelievingly stares forward at an official. Griffin wants outrage to come, and it certainly does from the Clipper faithful, but it’s met overwhelmingly with cries of “acting” and “whining” from other fan bases.

Griffin’s stare, unlike the complaining methods he shares with others, is almost inherently unique to him. He employs a blank visage not only in moments of feigned or genuine frustration with officiating, but occasionally in moments of personal triumph, after one of his signature dunks. Every eye at home and in the arena is directed at Griffin in these moments, and this blank stare meets their piqued interest. Of course, the employment of such a menacing stare does not set Griffin apart. Kevin Garnett has been employing an unnecessary staring habit and a “tough guy” persona for years, and for the most part, it works for him — the growling expression and fierce eye animation seal it. It certainly doesn’t inspire love from opposing fans, but it inspires believability. It’s believable that Garnett is angry and intense in these moments, and he exudes behaviors associated with toughness in a way that’s easily accepted as genuine, if not profound. This same believability cannot be found in Griffin’s stare. He doesn’t appear particularly intense or angry. He doesn’t appear much of anything, only confident and almost daring, as if looking around for someone, anyone to hinder his clear dominance. To those who look for Griffin only in these signature moments, only a haughty, vaguely daunting personality  can be found. But who is Griffin trying to daunt?

As the Clippers have risen to something more than a quiet basketball joke on the wings of Chris Paul and Blake Griffin, people have been forced to take Griffin, key cog on a contending team, with a serious tone that wasn’t present in the past. No longer is he viewed as Blake Griffin: Highlight Machine. Now, Blake Griffin: Basketball Player has to be considered, and with that comes the questions about his defense and his jumper. Blake Griffin is a terrific overall basketball player, but he’s a bad defender with an unpolished offensive game, and with this newfound analytic presence, the perceived invincibility of Griffin’s game falls away. Griffin’s game is both developing and flawed, a recipe for severe criticism when placed in such a constant, gilded spotlight. Everyone now knows what Blake Griffin can’t do, and his on-court persona is only damaged further. If you can’t play strong defense, the tough guy facade begins to lose credence.

All of this isn’t to say Blake Griffin is wholly disliked. He still commands a legion of fans, fans that have every right to like Griffin just as much as those who opine contrastingly. Off the court, Griffin commands likability with ease, starring in Funny or Die videos, appearing in funny national ad campaigns, and staying active and engaging on Twitter. For most people, that’s enough to be well-liked by peers. But Griffin, as a professional basketball player, earns his reputation with many fans on the court. When Griffin brings out his “tough guy ” persona in the arena, a persona quite different from his apparent off-court sensibilities, opinions are bound to shift and sway.

That negative shift is in full tilt in recent weeks, catapulted by Griffin’s questionable antics against the Lakers. Countless basketball fans were subjected to the full range of Griffin’s grating style, as he elbowed Pau Gasol in the face on a dunk (albeit an awe-inspiring dunk) and enacted a light, but dangerous shove to the back of an airborne Laker (Griffin had a similar incident with Darius Morris in January). It’s an unfair microcosm of Griffin, one of the bright, young stars of the NBA, but one that also holds true to how Griffin often conducts himself on the court.

Perhaps Griffin will eventually grow into the Kevin Garnett-type persona he appears to seek. As Griffin changes as a player and improves on his weaknesses, his basketball personality may become more convincing. The pronounced shift in how Griffin is viewed will only grow, but perhaps Blake Griffin doesn’t see that as a detriment. Every NBA player has their on-court personality, and who a player projects themselves to be on the hardwood certainly does not determine who they are in life. Basketball, and all competition, brings out tendencies that do not normally exist in the hearts and minds of people. But for now, Griffin’s behavior only damages his national brand.

The problem is not that Griffin acts so much differently from other stars; it’s that his performance isn’t convincing. Many fans simply don’t believe the message Griffin is attempting to convey, and I’m not sure he believes it either.

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