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NBA Finals Preview Part III: Grading Matchups

“Rondo will kill Fisher.”
“Fisher will kill Rondo.”
“Farmar can take Rondo.”
“Cassell’s too smart for Farmar.”

The Matchups for this series go on and on and on. So instead of your usual one on one matchups, we’re looking at this from all angles. Here’s a look at our perspective on the individual PG matchup combinations. Everything is on a 5 point scale.

Point Guard:
Derek Fisher vs. Rajon Rondo: Here’s what I’ve been getting hammered with. “You think Lakers fans are worried about Rajon freaking Rondo after AI, Deron Williams, and Tony Parker?!” You should be. Here’s why. AI you can pretty much throw out because he’s going to fill a stat sheet and essentially not really harm you in meaningful ways anymore. That Denver team was a joke. Pass. Second, Deron Williams was faced with two significant challenges. The first was the simple fact that Fisher had spent the entire previous year with Williams helping him with his game. The second was that Williams, while still highly explosive and quick as a jitter bug, primarily uses his size against opposing point guards. He’s a stocky dude, and with Fisher being able to match him in that scenario, it was problematic for him. Finally, Parker was is a pure blow-back speed guard. And he didn’t have a bad series against LA. The Spurs never really got on track, but he shot fairly well and created opportunities for his teammates who were too old well defended to capitalize.

Rondo’s a whole other beast. He’s quick, but more than that, he’s incredibly long for a point. He’s got youth, and that’s going to allow him to drive on Fisher and get to the basket. I’m not saying he’s going to score 20, or anything, but I don’t like Fisher in this matchup, and simply claiming that Fisher’s faced better point guards that he has a better physical matchup with is misleading.

Rating: +3 Celtics

Jordan Famar vs. Rajon Rondo: Farmar gets dogged a lot as the sidekick. And he’s still got quite a bit of growing up to do. But he’s also got a tremendous amount of upside and shows flashes of brilliance. The issue here is that Rondo had a terrible series against Cleveland, because West and Gibson were small, fast shooters that did their part, ran the offense, and hit shots when they needed to. Were it not for Mike Brown’s idiotic devotion to Wally Szczerbiak, it might be West we’re talking about here instead of Rondo. Nonetheless, Farmar presents the same issues as those two. He’s got the speed to get around Rondo, attacks the basket, plays well in transition defense, and can quickly recover on doubles. Rondo’s post game isn’t developed to a point where he can just go to that, and anyway, Rondo’s not a big enough weapon to justify him using the post. It’s unlikely that Jackson will go to Farmar heavily, but for the stretches he’s in the game, expect Farmar to get the best of him.

Rating: +2 Lakers

Derek Fisher vs. Sam Cassell: Both are going to find their way into crevices for threes, if Sam gets time. And both could be the veterans that provide huge lifts for their teams. Both are also marginally overvalued and need to just do their thing and shut up. Fisher, however, is younger, better, faster, and stronger than Cassell. It’s a shame, but it’s true. Cassell’s only a shell of his former self. Now watch him make us all look like fools.

Rating: +3 Lakers

Sam Cassell vs. Jordan Farmar: Conversely, Cassell would probably have an advantage on Farmar due to his size and veteran approach. Farmar tends to be intimidated by veteran legends, and Cassell certainly fits that bill. If Farmar can get out and run, that might work, but the Celtics transition D is pretty solid.

Rating: +3 Celtics

NBA Finals Preview Part II: Why We Don’t Give A Damn About Your Rivalry

I don’t care about Larry Bird.

Okay, that sounds callous. I care about him in the same context of how I care about Jack White, or the Pope, or Tony Shalhoub. I care about him in that he’s a human, he’s alive, I have nothing personal against him, and as such I wish him nothing but happiness.

But I don’t care about Larry Bird.

This series isn’t more interesting because Bird won three championships two decades ago with one of the teams. Likewise, this series isn’t more interesting because Magic Johnson’s image in universally intertwined with the purple and gold.

I don’t care about Magic Johnson, either.

We’re in the minority on this one, and we’re okay with that. There are enough people out there salivating over the renewed rivalry between Boston and LA and are more than happy to immediately tell you about their experiences watching the titanic battles these two teams had in the 60′s and 80′s. You’re not going to have any lack of those that find this series beautiful because of two teams that played “the right way” back in the day. The series hasn’t even started and already I’ve seen more highlights from the 80′s than a Bangles retrospective.

It’s not that we don’t respect the history. We do. If you want to discuss the greatest players of all time, the greatest rivalries of all time, the greatest moments in NBA history, Lakers-Celtics is going to dominate the conversations. But guess what? Larry Bird’s not walking through that door. Kevin Garnett is. And he’s no slouch.

We’ll wait for another time to get into the ridiculous “The game was so much better then” arguments. Needless to say, we’ll take the speed, refinement, athleticism, and in-game modifications of today, thanks. You enjoy ESPN Classic and Ben Gay. Just remember to pick us up from the movies at 10, Grandpa. We promise we’ll try and slow down when we’re going through your damn neighborhood. In all honesty, the argument is useless regardless. There’s no way to quantifiably evaluate two different eras with as many factors as that. We’ll concede, roll our eyes, and move on.

But this series shouldn’t be made into Larry Bird and Magic, Kareem and McHale. It should be about Kobe, about Garnett. It should be Pau Gasol’s coming out party, and Paul Pierce’s comeback album. It should make The Machine a household name, and make America fall in love with Rondo’s freakish fingers. It should add a turbo boost to an already surging league, and get the people that have bagged on the league off our shorts for a while. It deserves better than to be relegated to some cheap sequel with different actors in the lead roles.

You’ve got a Hall of Fame Coach, one of the best defensive coaches in the league (an assistant at that), and two fanbases that are polar opposites.

You can have a healthy respect for history without relying on comparisons to or forcing symmetry with a section of players and staff that existed 20 years ago.

We have something special on our hands, people. Let’s not blow it.

NBA Finals Preview Part I: Prediction

We begin our NBA Finals Preview of the Los Angeles Lakers versus the Boston Celtics by getting the dirty work out of the way. Here are our predictions.

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Corndogg checks in via text message. Which is appropriate.

Corndogg: Lakers sweep. Kg n pierce go down in flames. Kobe is the greatest person evah.

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Yeah, it’s a Mensa operation around here.
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Holly: Lakers in six… no, seven… yeah. Say seven.
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I asked the Paroxiwife for her pick, and this is what she came up with:

My first thought on this match-up? It’s classic East Side versus West Side: Biggie against Tupac; Boondock Saints and The Departed taking on Boyz in the Hood and Training Day. But when I really thought about it, I realized it’s a classic Monet, to quote Clueless: pretty from far away, but once you get up close, it’s a big old mess. And that’s what I predict: a much messier, scrappier kind of ball than either of these teams are expecting- and certainly not one either show has built a reputation around, as fans have come to expect a certain kind of smoothness and ease from the both conference champs. This series will be one where the edges are forced to become sharper, and it’ll be the team that is has the better structure underneath the smoothness that will hold up- the better fundamental design, no matter how crudely it ends up being demonstrated. After all, any table can have a good paint job, but it’s the one that’s made of sturdier wood and not laminate that can actually hold a trophy. But I’ll say right now these aren’t going to be games filled with beautiful moments and graceful arcs; they’ll be games filled with grit and rawness, bruises and blood. Matt pointed out that all of my East Side versus West Side comparisons involve murder and this one won’t live up to that standard. My response: maybe not, but it’ll be the team that comes closest to it that wins. And I’ve got to hand the edge to Boston- after all, according to the history books, they have years more experience killing people on east coast.

(Matt said I had to say a number of games I predict. Hell if I know, but the fewer the better to prevent murder in the Casa de Paroxi. Hopefully 5 or 6 though; any sports final deserves better than a sweep.)
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Finally, here’s my own feelings on the Finals.
Matt: Celtics in Six.

Okay, Lakers fans. Put down the knives, and tear gas, and pitchforks. Okay, more accurately, put down the cosmopolitans, lipstick, and tanning solution. Hear me out.

Let’s go ahead and say this. The Los Angeles Lakers have been better in the playoffs than any other team in the NBA. They have played with tremendous poise, passion, and executed nearly flawlessly. Kobe Bryant has made me regret every single moment this season where I argued against his MVP candidacy and has quite simply, been really, really fun to watch. They’re executing on all cylinders, have a far superior coach in Phil Jackson ( not that they need much for the edge), and have been dominant through three rounds in the toughest Western Conference in years. It’s not a matter of disrespect that forces me to pick against them. And here’s the kicker.

I truly believe the Lakers are the better team.

When Gasol, Odom, and Bryant are clicking, there’s simply no way to counter their offense. Furthermore, this team simply believes it is destined for greatness. You can tell by the swagger, by the way they rally around each other, by the way they never believe they’re down. Compare that with a Celtics team that’s essentially been underperforming for the last two months. A team who has one third of its big three suffering with being largely ineffective, and who’s star point guard is going to be huge or invisible depending on the phase of the moon.

Yup. Lakers are definitely the better team.

I know, I know, so I’m either a lunatic or an idiot for thinking the Celtics are going to win, right? Or perhaps you’re assuming I’ll go for the deceptively predictable “Kobe will screw this up” route. No, no. I expect Bryant to be positively sublime.

It’s a rare combination of what I’ve touched on before and an element unique to this series. I’ve mentioned that this is the year of the sensible, of the obvious. And while LA is obviously very, very good, the Celtics were obviously the best team in the league this year. I don’t mean that in the “there’s no debate about it” sense of obvious, but in the “upon first look” sense. The Lakers are much more subtle, with their deep bench, the ebb and flow of Kobe and Odom, and the intricate mind games Jackson plays. But the Celtics have Garnett, Allen, and Pierce, a good bench, and play great defense.

The more specific reason relevant to this series lies a complicated series of matchups you’re well familiar with at this point. Pierce will kill anyone who’s not Kobe guarding him, Garnett is going to drink Pau’s milkshake and make Gasol clean the glass for him. And despite what some people think, Rajon Rondo is going to kill Derek Fisher. I think Jordan Farmar will have a huge advantage on him, since Rondo suffers with fast guards, but he’s not likely to get the majority of minutes. Throw in the face that the Celtics have already dealt with the “player you have to constantly double on the perimeter” conundrum, though Bryant presents more and unique problems. Kobe’s going to get his.

I see Boston taking two, then LA taking two, and then Boston taking two.

Boston’s a fitting champion for this season, an ushering in of a new era, as they are not one of the teams to win a championship this decade. The Lakers will, of course, be back, as early as next year, but this series belongs to Boston. After being executed by Karmic retribution in the SuperBowl, Boston fans are approaching this season with a greater sense of propriety, and it will pay off for them. Conversely, LA’s assumption that they’ll win, “because they’re LA” will be their doom. This team has to learn it has to scrap for every possession, it has to battle for every point, it’s got to thrive on defending the best. They’re not there yet, no matter how well they’ve played.

I called Washington over Cleveland, and Dallas over New Orleans, both of which were reasonable mistakes at the time. Since then I’ve been perfect, and I expect that to continue in the Finals. The Celtics are re-peaking at the right time, and even I’ll say it. Watching KG cry over that trophy is going to be something truly amazing.

This series ushers in a renaissance of the NBA to the casual fan. It’s go time.

Seriously, Kobe. Enough.

Bryant, this is not cool. You’re not supposed to be likable. You’re supposed to be so arrogant it bleeds out of you. You’re supposed to be selfish, and jack up bad shots, and complain about teammates. Quit it. You’re killing me. Quit making me like you.

Kobe Bryant, I wish I could quit you.

BDL with the vid, ESPN’s interview.

Requiem For A Nightmare: The San Antonio Spurs

“The devil is a better theologian than any of us and is a devil still.”

-A. Towzer

Can you call them the villain?

As sports fans, we thrive on interesting questions. Cynical writers will rail on that fact. They’ll say they are irritated by meaningless questions, but in the end, that’s why we’re here, aren’t we? Otherwise, we’d just say “the Celtics shot better than the Pistons, scored more points, and won.” And that would be the end of it. But instead, we like to talk about it. To discuss. To argue. And to ask questions that inspire passion and insight.

So I ask again.

Can you call the San Antonio Spurs the villain?

This dynasty that they’ve upheld for the better part of the decade (and yes, it is a dynasty; multiple titles, convincing defeats of all challengers, a dominant winning percentage, it’s a friggin’ dynasty in our book) started as a feel good story. They were the little guys. The team that centered on “team.” They were repeatedly beaten down by the Big Bad Lakers. When Fisher nailed the .04 shot, it was heartbreaking. When they returned to glory, it was the validation of Tim Duncan’s career.

And then somewhere along the way, everything changed.

They became “predictable.” “Traditional.” “Un-exciting.”

And that, of course, led to the word most often used, criticized, and argued about to describe them:

Boring.

I’ve tried repeatedly to figure out why I share that perception with others. Am I just that easily persuaded by the common conviction? I mean, they’ve got one of the most exciting point guards in the league. They have a freaking Argentinian who admits he’s not that athletic as their slasher. They have classic veterans who hit big shots. They have the greatest power forward of all time and one of the best coaches in league history. So what was so boring about them? They drive to the basket. They don’t dunk a lot, but who cares? Why am I rooting so hard against them?

I think part of it came from the Phoenix run and gun. Say what you want, they were exciting to watch. Dunks, alley-oops, big threes in transition, always scoring, it’s what you want from a basketball game. The Spurs had offensive efficiency, to be sure, but it was deliberate. They learned to exert full control on the game, and the best way to assure victory was to slow everything down to a crawl. It was like pushing the slow-motion control on Mega-Man. And it’s cool in Mega-Man for the first thirty seconds.

This one lasted 10 years.

Then they lost that baby edge. They were called soft for so long. Spurs fans love to scream that, now: “We were called soft for years!” And it’s not an entirely bad argument. They are criticized for not being tough, so they get tough, and then they’re called “dirty.” I tend to believe there’s a way to be defensively tough and physical without Bowen’s “feet under ankles” trick or Robert Horry’s shennanigans, but I can see their point.

I kept coming to that conclusion this year, after watching the games more closely, after starting to see the big picture with their use of the D-League and the system they have in place. I couldn’t help but think to myself, no matter how much I still rooted against them, “These guys really can’t win with the public.”

Part of me wonders if we needed a villain. With the Lakers’ Shaq-Kobe mini-dynasty dissolved, and no one else dominant, I wonder if we turned on them merely because they were so predictably better than everyone. It would make sense for me personally. I root manically for the underdog. I simply always want the unexpected. Even this Finals matchup fills me with small dread. It’s painfully predictable, and therefore, not as interesting to me. Now, granted, even I can recognize how truly great this is going to be with the history, matchups, and media attention. But would I have preferred New Orleans versus Orlando? Abso-freaking-lutely. Because it’s two small market teams, and no one would have seen it coming.

Yet, San Antonio is a small market team. So small that they even had issues selling out their arena last year for the Conference Finals. They don’t have flash or glitter. David Stern would have hung himself if the Spurs had managed to ruin his Boston-LA Finals dream. We’re still stunned that he didn’t suspend every player on the Spurs last year after the Horry hip-check. Not because they deserved it, but because, really, wouldn’t Stern rather have the Suns than the Spurs? That it worked out the way it did either proves that the league is committed to even-handedness, that Stern REALLY hates Phoenix, or that Robert Horry has pictures of him doing something he shouldn’t.

Regardless, San Antonio should be exactly the kind of team we root for. Hard-working. Selfless. Committed to the team. Classy. Not afraid to scrap. Small market. But we didn’t. We prayed for their demise. Even their fans that weren’t San Antonio loyalist reveled in the fact that they were the bad guys. I found most of the people who pulled for San Antonio outside of Texas and weren’t lifelong Spurs fans had the same mindset as Raiders fans.

The best part is that even Spurs fans aren’t that upset. I mean, really, they knew they weren’t the best team this year. They knew their guys were aging and battling injuries, and that the rest of the league has gotten very, very good. They fought as they always do, and took down the New Orleans Hornets in one final stab to our hearts, and then faded. Spurs fans know that they have Ian Mahinmi coming up, Tony Parker’s only 25, Greg Popovich and RC Buford will come up with a plan, and, oh yeah, they still have those four championships.

So their detractors (read: us) don’t even have an opportunity to enjoy the Schadenfreude. They’re fine.

Now, that said, I will agree with one thing my bombastic partner said, and that’s that this run for the Spurs is likely over. Hear me out.

Mahinmi is likely to spend another year in Austin. He’s got a year left on his D-League eligibility, and while he made a tremendous amount of progress this year, there’s no reason for the Spurs to rush him. Splitter’s a bigger problem. With him resigning overseas, this creates a bit of a spot for the Spurs. Ginobili is a big question mark as well. He’s still going to be good, maybe even great. But he won’t get better from here on out, especially not with the injuries he’s started battling. Duncan probably won’t fall off much just because of the nature of his game and his work ethic, and Parker’s in his prime for the next five years (think about that).

Yet, there are only so many veteran three point shooters/defenders to go around. And the Spurs are facing probably more than a few exits. Factor in the fact that they need to go out and get some solid contributors and not plug holes with guys like Stoudamire and Thomas, and it’s probably a remarkably different team coming back next season.

This isn’t to say they’ll be anywhere near the lottery. Oh no, they’ll still be better than your team, most likely, unless you live in LA, Boston, and possibly Portland or New Orleans. However, championship caliber is something that is not only defined by the work the team puts in, but how the fates render it. It’s fleeting, it’s delicate, and maintaining it for even more than a year these days is an accomplishment. That the Spurs have cultivated a crop of championship veneer for close to 9 years is incredible. It’s also unlikely that they can overcome another mass remodeling work.

But I wouldn’t sleep on them, either. That organization is too well structured, too inventive, too committed to efficient, smart management to be underestimated. They’ll likely be back, but in a different form.

In the end, what this team gave us over the last 9 years is something pretty amazing, in how unamazed we were by it. They were immensely hateable. They were incredibly efficient. They were able to absolutely shock you with big play after big play and still leave you unimpressed by their style. After every declaration of their imminent demise, after every moment where you said, “Surely this is the freaking end,” they would simply smile, point, and say, “Scoreboard. “

The Nightmare is over, for now. But just because we’re glad it’s over, doesn’t mean it’s not worth remembering.

The Spurs, at least in this incarnation, are dead.

Long live the Spurs.

Freaking floppers.

Back In The Saddle Again

Sorry for the unannounced absence, folks. I had two back to back trips and thought I would have internet access last weekend. So it goes. I’ve thrown Corn’s raggedy ass back in the backseat and we’re cranking up some fun stuff for Finals week.

Oh, and an actual, you know, fair and rational discussion of the Spurs dynasty and imminent demise is right around the corner.

Thanks so much for blasting us into the atmosphere in the comments, though. That’s always fun to come back to.

Next time, I’m putting Holly in charge.

Of Course

Of course the Spurs get executed while I’m in Destin, Florida for a bachelor party. Of course. They even deprive me the opportunity to be a part of the discussion of their demise.

With Corndogg effectively driving this blog into a cliff while I’m gone, I’ll simply tell you, a proper send-off is in order for one of the most dominant franchises in NBA history, and I’ll lay it out when we get back.

For right now, I’m back to white sands, Coronas, and a little bit of chaos. I’ll right the ship when I return.

Oh, and Celtics in seven, we repeat.

Well, That About Does It For The Spurs!

Corndogg Here and loving this glorious day. Why, you might ask? Because I hate, hate, hate the Spurs. And don’t care what anyone thinks. And since Matt is away on vacation, I am taking this opportunity to tell those Spurs and all their fans that their team can make like Jackie Moon and his Bud Light: SUCK ONE! Finally, I am redeemed!

Not one, but TWO huge pieces of news today. First, the NBA has decided that it was indeed a foul that Derek Fisher committed on Brent Barry in the waining seconds of Game 4 two nights ago. And you what, BFD! The League isn’t changing the outcome and the Spurs still aren’t winning a title. At least we have some comeuppance, both from the League and for the Spurs, but not without controversy. Just as with the whole “rogue” official-Donaghy scandal, the refs are saying one thing and the league is saying another. This is not conspiracy theories, folks. This is truth. Just read the article.

And, the second piece of news, which will almost surely ruin the chances of the Spurs ever making it to the WCF again, is that the league will now be fining floppers! Yes, that’s right. A team like San Antonio, who runs a tight ship, with cost effective payrolls and teaches flopping as sound defensive technique, its totally, utterly screwed. How can all those guys on those small salaries get by getting fined two and three (or in Parker’s case – 142) times a night just for using proper defensive technique? Answer: they won’t. So now, either teams are going to have to actually attempt to play defense or they are going to get some serious kicks to the morale and the wallet.

Look, I know it looks like I am preaching armageddon for the Spurs. And you know what, I am. Because (even though I respect Buford, Pop and Duncan) I really, really hate that team. Always have. They have gone for so long getting egregious calls and ridiculously lucky “rule interpretations” that I have begged, pleaded and prayed for this day to come. And finally, it is here. So what if I had to sell my sole to the NBA gods and become a Laker fan for a series. It was all worth it. What good is a soul anyway, once the season is over?

Please feel free to splash all of your vitriol in the comments section. Or better yet, save your tears for the River Walk, because the reign of terror is all dried up way down in San Antone.

Tom Ziller Will Melt Your Face With Awesomeness

So I’m trying to catch up on things, balancing three blogs, catching up on the Clark Kent Job, making plans for the next trip I’ve got, and working on a few interviews I’m pretty proud of.

And then Tom Ziller goes and blows open the barn doors of the NBA Internet with two pieces that aren’t especially ground breaking, but are just really, really damn good.

First, he dishes this Combo Guard piece over at BallHype which made my mind light up like a plasma ball. The combo-guard v. pure point argument has been rattling in my brain for weeks and I was actually going to try and put something down on screen for it. Thank God I didn’t because it wouldn’t have been half as good as what Tom did.

But he wasn’t done. No, no. Then he dropped this piece on why the Draft is better than the Conference Finals, which essentially taps into the core of the reason we started RU.

So I’ve come to the only conclusion I can, given how much better Ziller looks than me today. Hell, I can’t even keep Detroit and Boston straight.

Tom Ziller has to die.

Be warned, House of Ziller.

The Machine Strikes Back

This is what happens when fans get creative. We almost like Vujacic at this point. Almost.